Erling Haaland: Man City striker hot favourite for Golden Boot

Of course, injury could definitely interfere with his Golden Boot award, but there are two reasons why Haaland is such an early favorite for the award.

Firstly, the number of goals he has scored and, more importantly, the number and quality of opportunities he has had. Secondly, their usual rivals have started the prize slowly.

A player’s expected goals count (xG) shows how many goals a Premier League player has historically scored based on the number and quality of chances they have.

This statistic is not a number chosen randomly by scientists, it is the number one in the history of the Premier League.

When we look at the overall performance of the players in the Premier League this season through normal play, we see that the Norwegian striker has had more good opportunities to score than anyone else.

In fact, even if Haaland wasn’t better than anyone else in the league at finishing chances, he’d still score more than twice as many goals as anyone else.