Contributor: How should the U.S. respond to Israel’s attack on Iran?
Israel’s decision to launch a large military operation against Iran may be a shock for many, but this is something itching for more than a decade of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Now the question is whether President Trump will continue to carry out an Israeli bombing campaign that may last for days, although not weeks.
Israel’s operation was planned for Trump’s Middle East ambassador Steve Witkoff a few days ago, and Iran was planned to gather for a sixth nuclear meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Oman.
Netanyahu did not support the diplomatic access of Trump administration to Iranians and Reportedly Green Light from the White House is turning to the nuclear facilities of Tehran last month. Instead, Trump seems to have never believed that by choosing diplomacy, but Netanyahu’s negotiations will result in something important.
Israel’s negotiation position has long been completely maximum: every nuclear complex in Iranian territory should be destroyed and in no circumstances, Iran cannot be left with a primitive uranium enrichment capability. Trump’s location is not as precise as Netanyahu’s. From time to time, US officials mentioned an agreement that would allow Iranians to continue to enrich in a low level with strict, comprehensive international surveillance. Trump declared that at other times, Washington would not sign any agreement that allows Iran to rich.
Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and a local Iranian enrichment program, but still can provide peaceful nuclear energy to the region and at the same time to meet the possibility of weapons in the Middle East, including a regional nuclear consortium has emerged since these negotiations have emerged. But the Iranians Get the idea No enrichment in Iran will be allowed.
Israel’s military attack raises the diplomatic chess board by transforming the last few months of the US-Iran debate into empty theater. Trump claims He knew what Israel existed from the beginning and congratulated Netanyahu for the attack. This makes it difficult to imagine that Iran’s superior leader Ayatullah Ali Khanenei has authorized his subordinates to continue to controversy with the Americans. To do this will be Tehran’s very public weakness.
Nevertheless, the White House is still waiting for the Iranian authorities to come for the next talks. As Trump argued after the first Israel Salvo, Iran is no longer in a position to be rejected. “I couldn’t get them into an agreement within 60 days,” Trump saidRefers to Iranians. “They were close, they should have done. Maybe it will be now.”
In fact, it is a situation that will be much more complicated to collapse and handle the current diplomatic process, which is likely to see instead.
Israeli political and military officials have made it clear that military operations will continue until the next week and perhaps longer. The Iranians will feel the pressure of continuing to retaliate every day, whether they are in the form of drones and missiles that sabotage cargo ships in the Gulf of Basra, to the Iranians’ air defenses, western targets of Israel. In any case, the Middle East is close to a full -scale war than ever.
This is a critical moment for the Trump administration, and how it chooses to act in the coming hours and days, whether the US is dragged into another regional conflict.
Israel will do what he has to do to protect his safety. Assuming that Trump will try to force Netanyahu to stop bombings – this scenario is weak – the Prime Minister of Israel is not guaranteed. Better or worse, Israel’s strategic calculation changed after attacks after 7 October 2023. Netanyahu is now much less risk-assistant than his previous duties in the office.
The United States can only check what it can control. Trump does not want to help a clash that can expose to close risks of tens of thousands of US troops based on the Middle East, as much as he might want to see the world’s largest state terrorism sponsor beaten. In addition, the US participation in aggressive Israeli military operations will betray Trump’s basic supporters, and the campaign promises to avoid fruit -free, endless wars. In addition, the US aggressive participation will kill the large diplomatic ambitions that Trump may have in the Middle East, and while China is trying to reinforce its power in Asia, Nip of the administration’s pivot for Indo-Pacific.
Sometimes the best answer to a dangerous situation is not to do anything. Washington will not satisfy more hawk elements, but I hope Trump holds the fire.
Daniel R. DETRİS is a man in Defense Priorities.
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Ideas expressed in the piece
- Israel’s attack on Iran reflects Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s goal of eliminating Iran’s nuclear capabilities, and Israel demands that all Iranian nuclear facilities be completely destroyed and the prohibition of uranium enrichment[3].
- The United States previously resisted the pressure of Israel for common strikes, instead of diplomacy, but Netanyahu’s actions, US-Iran nuclear negotiations containing proposals such as a regional nuclear consortium stabilized.[3].
- President Trump’s management faces a dilemma: to support Israel’s campaign, to drag the United States to a wider Middle East conflict, to endanger troops and to resist the strategic focus to resist China in Asia[3].
- The restriction by the United States is in line with Trump’s promises to avoid new wars, and even if it disappoints the hawks in Washington, it can prevent further rise[3].
Different opinions on the subject
- The US has a strategic obligation to help Israel in a defensive way to seize Iranian missiles, to maintain regional stability and to deterd the Iranian aggression.[1][3].
- To allow Iran to maintain any uranium enrichment ability, faces the risk of nuclear proliferation and performs proactive military actions to neutralize the threats before the threat occurs[2][3].
- Diplomatic participation, such as the planned US-Iran negotiations, can be strengthened by pairing negotiations with calibrated military pressure to force Iranian privileges.[2][3].
- Failure to support Israel decisively can strengthen Iran and its deputies and increase the likelihood of asymmetric attack on US interests in the Middle East.[1][2].
