Labour slumps to record low in polls while Reform and Greens surge
Labor falls to its lowest rating in YouGov poll; Sir Keir Starmer’s party was almost level with the Conservatives, Greens and Liberal Democrats.
New survey commissioned by TimesIt found that just 17 per cent of voters backed Labor, the same number who would vote for Kemi Badenoch’s Conservative Party, while Reform UK remained ahead on 27 per cent.
The Greens have the party’s highest support with 16 percent, followed by the Liberal Democrats with 15 percent.
It comes as Sir Keir was warned he may have difficulty turning around the party’s fortunes following its defeat in a by-election in Wales last week.
Labor faces threats from the left and right, with concerns about losing voters to Reform or the rising Greens.
Tuesday’s figures represent the lowest score Labor has recorded in YouGov figures and show support for the Greens is rising among young voters.
Data shows that 40 per cent of 18-24 year olds plan to vote for Zack Polanski’s party, with Labor coming in second with 21 per cent and the Liberal Democrats third with 13 per cent.
Reform is leading among the population over the age of 65.
It comes after Labor was pushed into third place in the contest for the Senedd seat in Caerphilly last week with just 11 per cent of the vote.
They finished behind winners Nigel Farage’s Reform and Plaid Cymru.
It was the first time Labor had lost an election in the former mining town in more than a century, and the prime minister said he was “deeply disappointed” by the result and that his party “clearly should have done much more”.
Pollsters and politicians are looking forward to next year’s local elections, as well as national elections for the Scottish and Welsh parliaments, and predict that these elections could be fraught for the government.
The landmark election will be a major test of Labour’s performance in power and could be seen as a deadline for the prime minister to begin delivering on the government’s priorities.
Following the defeat, pressure group Mainstream, an ally of Andy Burnham, warned Labor would be “destroyed in Wales without a major reset next May” and advised Sir Keir to “reject the extreme factional culture”. [that is] He is determined to concentrate power at the top of the party.”
Ipsos pollster Keiran Pedley said: Independent “It’s hard to see how Labor will turn things around.”
