Media misuses migration statistics to promote anti-immigration rallies

Media organizations were called by the Australian Statistical Office to inflate their data before the ‘March’ rallies for Australia ‘Australia’. DR ABUL Rizvi Reports.

Probably since the beginning of the post -war migration program, the first anti -immigration rallies have been planned for August 31, 2025. To introduce these rallies, many anti -immigration media organizations, thought tanks and political groups to the Australian Statistical Office (Pessimistic) data.

It was the most awful I’m Fordham In Sydney 2GB Radio, who in question:

“Every day take a burden of it, Australia is now taking 1544 new people; 1544 a day. These are the latest figures. Now this, the Boeing 787 Dreamliner’s equivalent for weeks every day, we had 279,000 arrivals in the first six months of this year”.

Fordham was actually permanent and long -term.NPLT) Movements for the first six months of 2025. These were 279,660. The man made the same mistake in deliberate or other way as Creightton did AustraliaWho said:

“The government promised to reduce the net migration before the election, which means that it is around 250,000 a year, to reduce it to pre -avoidance before the election.

Assumes Creightton and Fordham NPLT It is the same as net migration. Public Relations Institute (IPA) One media declaration Also make the same error for 2024-25 NPLT movements data. Daily Mail He copied them, tried to break an anti -immigrant hate frenzy.

ABS tried to fix this through This The Media Declaration of ABS:

This week, more than one media stories were published. Overseas arrival and take -offs (OAD) data to comment on transition numbers. This data does not reflect the official ABS definition It can lead to false consequences in migration and migration.

Abroad arrival and departures (OAD) data are border transitions rather than migration. Permanent and long -term movements come from traveling statements and do not depend on a traveler residence before travel. For example, this means that a person who has been living in Australia for three years and traveling in Australia and traveling many times abroad can count as a long -term visitor many times even if they migrate only once.

But instead of accepting the mistake, these anti -immigrant groups doubled, accusing the abdomen of politicizing or pamping. censorship On behalf of the government. Nothing can really be ahead. ABS has corrected a very fundamental misunderstanding of NPLT movements data.

NPLT movements data can be used as a lead indicator of net migration, but can only be used with other supportive evidence. As it is, the NPLT movements in 2023-24 were very close to the net migration that year, and these anti-immigration groups assumed that they would always be the same. However, in other years since Covid, it was very different from net migration.

Considering the supportive evidence for 2024-25, it is clear that the net migration in 2024-25 will not be near 457,000 IP. Daily Mail And others say. Another result of around 350,000 to 380,000 is possible. This would be good on net migration in 2023-24 in 2023-24, and therefore, contrary to the picture that anti-immigration outlets are trying to paint.

Moreover, in 2025, I Fordham and Man Creightton though, Treasure It may need to increase the net migration forecast for 2025-26 of 260,000.

For ABS, 2025 and 2025, we will get some approval about net migration results for 2024-25 and 2025. Unfortunately, this will not be until September 18, 2025-will not be long after the anti-immigration rally planned in August 31.

Until then, these anti -immigration groups will continue to abuse the data of NPLT movements to force their agenda. Indeed, in classic Trumpian mode, they may continue to claim that ABS equipped data.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ea45zswt8y

DR ABUL Rizvi An independent Australian columnist And a former deputy secretary of the Ministry of Immigration. You can follow Abul on Twitter @Rizviabul.

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