PPI inflation report takeaways

On April 18, 2025, customers look at the clothing shown at a Costco branch in Niantic, Connecticut.
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The producer price index, which has a wholesale cost indicator in the US economy, recorded an unexpected 0.1% decrease in August in August. Here are what you need to know:
- For the third time this year, the PPI showed a deflation, which is generally considered as a measure of pipeline price prints. Wall Street economists were looking for an increase of 0.3%. Although core minus trade services actually increased by 0.3%, the core PPI, which eliminates food and energy, fell 0.1%
- Tame reading will only feed the market expectations of a federal reserve rate cut next week, and President Donald Trump quickly remained in the case. “Just out: no inflation !!! ‘too late’ should reduce the rate, big, right now. Powell is a complete disaster, no clue !!!” HE The truth was sent at Social Fed chair in his last shot at Jerome Powell.
- Despite the inflation and the certainty of a ratio deduction, the market response was silenced. Stocks rose slightly and treasury returns only moved humblely lower. The PPI is usually not accepted as a high -profile or well -understood metric, and traders are probably waiting for consumer price index pressure on Thursday.
- Fed officials look at the title numbers, but also to the basic drivers. The PPI report gave good news about inflation foundations. The service sector, which directed approximately 80% of GDP, has explicitly deflated and fell by 0.2%. Even more affected by the tariffs increased even 0.1%.
- Reading CPI will attract more attention at Meat at 8:30 on Thursday. As in PPI, the consensus appearance is for an increase of 0.3%. Approximately one -fifth of CPI and PPI numbers are fed by the price index of personal consumption expenditures to the preferred inflation indicator of the Fed’s preferred inflation indicator. CPI is the last major data point before the FED’s decision a week later.
What do they say:
“Tomorrow will carry more weight, but today’s PPI pressure launched the red carpet for a Fed rate cut next week. However, after last week’s job report, the market was already waiting for a lightening cycle, so how close it would have it to be seen.” Chris Larkin, General Manager, Trade and Investment, E-Commerce from Morgan Stanley.
“The worst scenario of inflation does not play. Pigeons will be happy to see the number below 3 percent. Recently combined with weak job data, this follows us for ratio cuts. But speed and intensity may be more dependent on the big consumer index tomorrow morning.” – Head of the Global Market Strategy in David Russell, Tradestation.
“The inflationary pressure in the UFE generally seems silent. – Citigroup economist Andrew Hollenhorst.



