Asian markets ride the Fed easing cycle to record peaks
The Asian stock markets further followed Wall Street due to the increasing probability of a few US ratio deduction, stressful bond markets, and increasing the possibility of dragging over the dollar.
The indices in Japan, South Korea and Taiwan scaled the record summits called with exaggerated expectations for the increase in earnings related to AI.
The US consumer price report was a major obstacle to reducing interest rates to reducing federal reserve interest rates next week, and if it was a small company, it was a threatening thing.
Indeed, the CPI, which was fed by the Fed’s preferred basic personal consumption expenditures (PCE), was on the soft side and led the analysts in Citi to predict a 2.9 percent reading for August.
“This is an encouraging reading for FED officials who are preparing to participate in a number of ratio deductions, Veronica Citi, Citi’s economist, Citi’s economist.
“At the next five FOMC meetings, we continue to expect a 125 BP ratio deduction, and the risk of cutting rates below 3 percent of the Fed increases.”
Markets, 100 percent of the quarter of the quarter of the next week to increase the chance of a decrease of 4.00 percent to 100 percent, and this year has increased the probability of two more convenience to 90 percent.
The Treasury market has already alleviated a 10 -year return with a decrease of 20 basis points in the last two weeks, which is an effective ratio decrease when mortgage rates were given depending on the returns in the United States.
This decrease helped to calm concerns in some other major bond markets, which were suppressed by political uncertainty and expanding financial loads, especially in Europe.
In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei rose to the highest level of 0.6 percent and reached 3.7 percent this week. South Korea added 1.1 percent and increased the weekly rise over 5 percent.
Chinese blue chips have increased by 0.2 percent since the beginning of 2022. MSCI’s Asian-Pacific shares outside Japan increased by 1.2 percent of the largest index.
Eurostoxx has spread to European shares with its 50 futures, FTSE futures and DAX futures. S&P 500 futures and NASDAQ futures have reached new peaks overnight.
In foreign exchange markets, the dollar returned to 147.23 Yen, which was briefly up to 148.20 in the previous session. Japanese and US financial ministers made a statement on Friday that no country will target currency levels in policies.
The Euro had a modest philosopher on Thursday, which shows that the rates of the European Central Bank were “in a good place una on the unchanged and the policy.
“This shows that the management council is not inclined to relax in the absence of a major growth shock, Greg said Greg Plant, an economist in JPMorgan. “Thus, we moved our call for a final ratio deduction from October to December.”
“We know that the ECB can be made with deductions, but we still think of the risk of downward growth and justifies a slight prejudice of inflation appearance.”
After the meeting, the ECB sources told Reuters that the December meeting would be the most realistic time period to discuss whether there is another segment to buffer the economy.
Markets mean only one -fifth chance of the chance of alleviating December and the possibility of an ECB about 60 percent for this cycle.
In the commodity markets, the gold is at an ounce of $ 3,633 just above the top of 3,673.95.
As OPEC continued to pump more products, the International Energy Agency foresees an even greater record of oil surplus next year, after oil prices were under pressure.
Brent decreased by 0.4 percent to $ 66.09 per barrel, while the US crude oil rose to $ 62.07 percent per barrel.
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