China’s BIG statement on India overtaking Japan as world’s 4th largest economy, says, ‘true strength comes from…’
India has surpassed Japan to become the fourth largest economy in the world, with a GDP of US$4.18 trillion. Strong domestic growth and reforms position India as the fastest growing major economy; Estimates suggest India could overtake Germany by 2030, drawing praise from China and global organisations.
China emphasized the importance of resilience, learning from history and preparing for the future, and congratulated India for becoming the world’s fourth largest economy, surpassing Japan. Yu Jing, spokesman for the Chinese Embassy in India, said: ‘I am very happy to know that India is poised to surpass Japan to become the world’s 4th largest economy. ‘India’s rise shows that real strength comes from confronting history honestly, learning from it and taking responsibility for the future.’
I am happy to know that India is poised to surpass Japan to become the 4th largest economy in the world
India’s rise shows that real strength comes from confronting history honestly, learning from it, and taking responsibility for the future. #India #GlobalEconomy
— Yu Jing (@ChinaSpox_India) December 31, 2025
India Becomes the Fourth Largest Economy
The Indian government announced on December 30 that the country’s economy has surpassed Japan’s to reach US$ 4.18 trillion. India is now in a position to challenge Germany for third place by 2030, with forecasts pointing to a GDP of US$7.3 trillion in the next 2.5-3 years.
India’s real GDP growth has been strong; the economy rose to 8.2% in the second quarter of 2025-26 from 7.8% in the previous quarter and 7.4% in the fourth quarter of last fiscal. Strong domestic consumption and other domestic factors have been central to sustaining this growth even amid global trade uncertainties.
Fastest Growing Major Economy
India continues to be the fastest growing major economy in the world. Many international organizations predict continued strong growth:
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World Bank: 6.5% in 2026
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Moody’s: 6.4% in 2026, 6.5% in 2027
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IMF: 6.6% in 2025, 6.2% in 2026
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OECD: 6.7% in 2025, 6.2% in 2026
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S&P: 6.5% in 2025-26, 6.7% next year
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ADB: 7.2% in 2025
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-Fitch: 7.4% in FY26
These forecasts underscore optimism about India’s continued expansion and ability to maintain high growth rates.
Building on Strong Foundations
The government emphasized that India’s economic rise has been supported by structural reforms, strong social progress and policies aimed at long-term stability. India is aiming for upper middle-income status by 2047, the centenary of its independence, and is leveraging strong domestic demand and reform-led growth to achieve this goal, officials said.
With the US remaining the largest economy, followed by China and Germany, India’s entry into the top four marks a historic turning point. Analysts say the country’s growth trajectory positions it as a key player in the global economy over the next decade, reflecting both resilience and forward-looking economic strategy.
