ANDREW NEIL: I fear the Gaza peace plan rests on the fiction that Hamas will surrender. We must hope I’m wrong and that Trump is right

Donald Trump claims that this is a way of ‘eternal peace’ and ‘potentially a great day for civilization’.

It is not surprising that the Middle East Peace Plan, which is based on changing degrees by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the region’s great Arab states, is receiving hyperbolic treatment.

Absolutely ambitious. Oval office Keener is more than temperature to follow a president’s peaceful path. And in this last attempt, Trump, Peacemaker, which was terminated by the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. He really wants this Nobel Prize.

However, the 20 -point peace plan requires a very harsh situation: the terrorist bandits, who launched this barbarian attack on Israel almost two years ago, surrender unconditionally when going to their bad work.

Otherwise, the structure of Trump will break down. I cannot see that Hamas has accepted it with the best will in the world.

Trump wants Hamas to be released immediately, unfortunately, only 20 thinks that only 20 still survives, which is a movement that will still give up what Sway Hamas still has on Israel.

In the last 20 years, Israel and Palestinians insist that they have left their terrorized weapons.

In addition, his plan clearly shows that Hamas cannot play any roles in the future of Gaza. The group should only be disarmed, but also leave the area, the best hope is forgiveness and exile.

Now Hamas would have accepted all of this, the world would have been a much better place – and peace would have a chance. But I’m struggling to see why Hamas will be obliged, because there’s nothing to be a criminal partner in his own extinction.

Trump gave three to four days to comply with Hamas or to confront them with destruction. If he challenges him, ‘Israel will have my full support to finish the business’, the President says the military destruction of Hamas’s ruins.

However, Israel has been shooting Hamas for two years and even though the group has been seriously corrupted, it is somehow manages not to go out. It is not clear that Israel has a better idea than how to do it.

Undoubtedly, Israel’s inevitable wage of civilian losses and urban destruction and relentless attacks translated the worldview against it. Israel is now regularly accused of genocide.

This, although such an entity does not exist (and not only in the Trump’s peace plan) has gained acceleration in the international movement to recognize a Palestinian state. The British government only jumped to this bandwagon last week.

Trump’s plan has wide support from the world’s leading Muslim nations (such as Indonesia and Pakistan) and most of the most important Arab states of the Middle East. This is quite success.

Israel has been hitting Hamas for two years and even though the group has been seriously corrupted, it is not somehow imprisoned (at the beginning of this month, a 12 -storey high floor in Gaza City) is an Israeli strike)

However, if Israel is released to bring Gaza more death and destruction to Gaza with a renewed proposal to ensure the completely destruction of Hamas, Trump dies before the Peace plan leaves the ground.

The Arab support will disperse faster than the snow on Sahara and the global opprobrium will continue to collapse to Israel.

Maybe Hamas is more flexible than I think. Qatar, the two countries with a little friendly relations with him in the recent past, and even Türkiye is under great pressure.

But I understand that the terrorists are asked to accept ‘completely surrender’. Even if Trump’s plan does not fall into the first (Hamas) obstacle, there are future obstacles.

Trump was proposed to preside a so -called peace council to act as a kind of temporary government for Gaza. It will consist of various relevant parties including ourselves

The Institute of Sir Tony Blair, who finds the plan on which the Trump plan is based.

Blair has excellent contacts with the Trump administration, the Israeli government and the leading Arab states of the region.

All these undisputed parties played a seminal role behind the scenes in receiving them on the side. Quite diplomatic success. However, what is recommended is not necessarily practical.

Trump was proposed to preside a so -called peace council to act as a kind of temporary government for Gaza. The Institute would consist of various relevant parties, including its own Sir Tony Blair, which revealed the plan on which the Trump plan was based.

The Peace Council is also a new Gaza police force training to chair a gradual Israel from Gaza and to deploy an Arab ‘stability force’ from countries such as Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. This transition would be difficult to say at least.

There is no story of successful Arab peace protection forces. The Arabs will be careful that they operate with the Israeli army and become a new occupation force. Both risks seem inevitable to me.

There is no time schedule for delivery and there is no time limit on how long the board can manage. Arab and Israeli forces may need to be seen

Working together for a while will keep a security buffer on the Gaza side of the Israeli border.

The Palestinian authority, which runs part of the West Bank, was cut off from the picture until the board of directors determines that it was ‘completely transformed’. Since PA is a corrupt, non -popular gerontocracy, it is not an easy task. Netanyahu knows that. He said it would require a ‘miraculous transformation’ with a smile clue yesterday.

Netanyahu is said to have taken a look at Trump to accept his peace plan. In reality, the Israeli Prime Minister is the great winner. If Hamas collapses, Carte Blanche, one of the Americans to do whatever is necessary to eliminate the group, will be.

If Hamas proves that there is no stumbling block, then the load-shaping power of the next step would take back the hosts of the remaining hosts, while Netanyahu provides enough security for the transition to the Arab countries of the Peace Council.

Netanyahu could say that he had registered for a peace agreement with America and Arab countries. He stopped by him. If people hadn’t worked as well as they hoped, it wasn’t his mistake. Talk to Arabs or Americans.

In the short term, the Trump plan will already destabilize Netanyahu’s shaky government. He wants to annex Gaza, which is difficult in his cabin. He’s angry because he agrees to stay in Palestinian hands.

So far, he would often agree that Netanyahu would go out if they forced a choice. However, if the hostages are free and a kind of peace process continues under Arab responsibility, and more and more defeat and defeat are no longer an unpredictable result.

If Hamas throws the towel, the Trump plan would still face difficult obstacles. But these are not insurmountable. The plan is ambitious. There is nothing wrong with this. It is different from previous peace initiatives. This is an advantage.

Trump succeeded especially in the Muslim world for widespread support behind him.

But I’m afraid that it is based on a fiction – Hamas will surrender. We should hope that I am wrong – and President Trump is right.