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Are we in an AI bubble? What tech leaders and analysts are saying

Are we in an AI bubble?

This is the debate dominating the tech industry in 2025, and it doesn’t look like it’s going away anytime soon.

Record valuations and deals driven by large investments artificial intelligence It has fueled the AI ​​boom and made some potentially explosive.

AI leaders like OpenAI and Nvidia they have woven an impressive web of surprising deals with cloud infrastructure companies; hyperscalers are Amazon, Microsoft And Google We continue to spend billions of dollars on data center construction.

Even as companies race to meet rapidly growing demand for artificial intelligence, the massive debt financing these builds has led to concerns that the spending spree could go too far.

Economic bubbles occur when asset prices in a particular market rise rapidly, usually due to speculation or overexcitement, followed by a crash when prices fall suddenly.

Bubble talks reignited late last year after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang dismissed fears of a possible AI crash during the company’s third-quarter earnings call.

“There has been a lot of talk about the AI ​​bubble,” he said. “We’re seeing something very different from our perspective.”

Others, including “The Big Short” investor Michael Burry, are less confident in the stability of the AI ​​boom.

The fund manager, who became famous for predicting the housing crisis in 2008, drew parallels between the current spending fervor and the dot-com craze of the late 1990s in a lengthy review. bottom stack article.

“Sometimes we see bubbles,” Burry wrote in October. x post. “Sometimes there’s something to be done about it. Sometimes the only winning move is not to play.”

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman made a similar comparison at a dinner with journalists in August.

“Are we at a stage where investors are overly excited about AI in general? My opinion is yes. Is AI the most important thing that’s happened in a long time? My opinion is yes, too,” he said.

A note on methodology:

CNBC compiled responses from 40 tech executives, analysts and other industry professionals who shared their thoughts on the current AI craze over the past four months.

While the question of whether the market is in a bubble seems binary, many answers come from across the bubble potential and concern spectrum.

CNBC also evaluated the level of concern to gain a more comprehensive perspective on each response.

CNBC scored each person’s views on a 0 to 10 scale based on two factors: How much they believe AI is in a bubble (0 meaning no and 10 meaning yes) and how worried they are about it (0 being not at all worried and 10 being very worried).

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