AUKUS a $368b risk. US can’t be trusted. Australia needs a Plan B

As Aukus becomes natural risks more evident And when the United States sank even more chaos There is an urgent need to re -calibrate the basis of the security of Australia’s country.

The Australian government must admit that a changing security environment requires a change in the approach. It is time for Australia to become the “strategic defense” state instead of an existing power protector policy – the aim is not to defeat an attacker, but to stop their goals.

Strategic defense is a long -term military philosophy. It is ideal for Australia, because – like Switzerland – the geography of Australia, cultural attitude and security requirements combine it to make it a natural choice for our national security. Modern military technologies and the naturally stronger aspect of war of war emphasizes the benefit of strategic defense for Australia. We have all the necessary features.

Strategic defense states are not great powers and do not have aggressive intention. We are greatly satisfied with our place in the world and we can meet almost all our needs from our own resources. The most important source weakness of Australia is liquid fuels with a safety deficit that is easily corrected by electrification of the economy.

The fact that Australia is a continent of island makes it easier for us to adopt strategic defense while combining the challenges of any attacker. Modern weapons-patient strike missiles and long-range drones-prosecutor tend to support.

For a strategic defense state, it is easier to achieve military achievement metropy compared to an aggressive country. To meet ours War targets Australia only need to prevent the enemy from reaching his Objectives – our goal is not conquest, protection. In addition, Australia’s goal in the war has to wear the enemy actively, not actively defeating the enemy, but in a way that the effort is abandoned. Being in defense does not mean that Australia will not attack back, which means that Australia should not follow the impossible purpose of competing equally with the enemy.

The only reason Australia is not already a strategic defense state is its long -standing addiction to a large power protector. The need to play the role of this addiction and a loyal ally is so deep, the largest design principle of the Australian Defense Forces is to fight as a subset of the US army. This is the main reason why Australia insisted on joining the US -led wars from Vietnam to Iraq.

Unfortunately, for the political leaders of Australia, the logic of addiction is no longer sustainable despite its ranks. hope Everything is fine. Only the most irrational optimistic may believe that the US will bring the submarine construction rate to the point where it can meet its needs and increase its promises to Australia. admiral He clearly confessed. What once an ally, treatment shows your friends. Meanwhile Donald Trump put out Russia’s other autocrats like Vladimir Putin. The global managed basic commandment of the Australian Government folded As a result of current US policies, there is a lot. In the meantime, climate change continues to deteriorate and only Trump will be made more terrible. anti-environmental agenda.

Fortunately, it is not difficult to abandon dependence on the United States and adopt a defense -oriented power stance. There are already required military technologies. The main obstacle is cultural. Australia’s political leaders have been postponed long and automatically enough to be seen as very risky to change the needs of the United States. Aukus is the latest condensation of this cultural rout.

Instead of waiting for the inevitable failure of Aukus, it would make more sense to transition to a really applicable concept of security. Numerous commentators like Malcolm Turnbull and Peter BriggsHe called on the government to develop a plan B for the defense of the country. Fortunately, there is already such a plan. My recent book, Great correction: Restructuring the national security of AustraliaIt examines what is wrong with AUKUS, and summarizes how strategic defense actually provides Australia in fact it should be safe and independent.

There is no doubt that the risk environment has changed between the deteriorating effects of climate change, the increasing power of China and the US landing on authoritarianism. The future will be different from the past. The government has accepted many Policy DocumentsEven if Australia’s leaders insist on protecting their current dependence policy.

Readers of John Maynard Keynes They reflect the well -known word of this, “I change my mind when the facts change. What are you doing, sir?” We need to do something different to meet the challenges of Australia’s more uncertain and dangerous future. We need a plan B.