Welfare bill row: With a £5bn hole to fill, the true battle on Keir Starmer’s hands may only just be beginning

Sir Keir Starmer pushed the shabby residues of welfare reforms through Commons on Tuesday night and eliminated a shameful defeat.

However, the Prime Minister may barely say that he won the war and may have burned touch paper in a wider war for the future of the Labor Party.

In the discontinuation of Downing Street and changing one of the flagship invoices to buy Backbench rebels, just a year later, a leader with a large majority leader did harm to the authority of the unifying demonstration.

Worse, a bill set to save the taxpayer 5 billion £ 5 billion will cost 100 million pounds at the end of ten years, and the chancellor will leave a hole to fill Rachel Reeves this autumn this autumn. The Director of the Institute of Financial Research (IFS) said that the transition of the bill through the second reading of the bill was not “a victory”.

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Paul Johnson said that the first attempt to save £ 5 billion seems to be halved first, and then “will not save anything now … and even cost a few million”.

Cabinet Office Minister Pat McFadden was sent to the air waves on Wednesday to deal with Fallout the night before, but only the government was added to the questions faced. He said that there would be “financial results ,, but he said he would emphasize where tax hikes will be targeted and“ our budget has too many active parts ”.

However, after guaranteeing that it will do its job, while looking for at least 5 billion pounds in Whitehall, it has prepared the ground for a supreme struggle for at least 5 billion pounds in Whitehall, above the expected economic growth and any deficiency caused by Donald Trump’s sprinkle of trade war.

Welfare Farce, Sir Keir’s all comes after a series of chaotic u turn following a similar pattern: taking a non -popular step, enduring, assembly criticism – before leaning in large amounts of political capital and honor among MPs.

It happened before and there is no reason that will never happen again.

For millions of retirees, winter fuel payments have finally had little results for previous false steps.

Therefore, voters will be the last of Sir Keir.

Senior figures in the party, Prime Minister’s Chief of General Staff Morgan McSweeney against the briefings that are repeated in the middle of the briefings of the operation in the operation of the operation in the operation of the operation is losing the belief in the operation.

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The Prime Minister defended his right hand at the cabinet meeting on Tuesday. TimesThe ministers call on not to open their colleagues before the anniversary of Labour’s election win.

However, the fact that Labour’s welfare bill went down to the tracks, forcing only to the line with last -minute delivery, shows how badly the PM and staff evaluate the mood among MPs.

Another problem for PM is that the rebellious backbencher now has the taste of blood. Open to the public with sufficient worries, they know that if non -popular policies arise in the future, they can force the Prime Minister’s hand again. With decisions on issues such as Cap Loming with two children, future rebellions seem inevitable.

Above all, at least the Autumn’s agenda of the PM will be overshadowed with a problem with the budget of the chancellor.

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Tax increases or a new deep spending round, MS Reeves seems inevitable if it meets its imposed financial rules.

The government promised to determine how it plans to pay for “usual” for billions of pounds of U-transformation.

But on Tuesday night, something was clear from the deputies in Commons. For a prime minister who won the 174 -seat majority less than a year ago, Sir Keir manages far from normal.

He needs a desperate reset to regain the control of the narrative and to recover his government again. The reorganization of the cabinet on Downing Street will be clear in the coming weeks when he selected a change.