Contributor: Why ‘bunker busters’ won’t end Iran’s nuclear ambitions
At 2 o’clock on Sunday, Tahran attacked the Iranian nuclear facilities in Ford, Natanz and Isfahan, and strikes were activated. Iran came As a special technology of American bombardment planes. A gear president Trump arrogant The conditions shortly after the operation is finished. “Iran for 40 years death to America, death to Israel. They are killing our people, they fly their arms up, their legs explode, they are bombs on the roadside. This was their expertise.”
Congress, the scope of Iran in the United States, repulsion from anti -American stock images murals The permanent threat of “Iran -backed militias .. Now a emerging consensus We are not talking about the end of the repressive Islamic Republic of the Republic of Islam, which will be the end of the repressive Islamic Republic of Islam, the government’s nuclear program and that country’s destabilizing requests for regional hegemony. A sherry conjunctive titles– analysts And politicians presented recently regime change As a natural certainty, there is no less than a magic bullet. This is Iran maturity.
Few of these experts took the next step, “What then?” He asked. Where does the magic bullet come down? The dominant obligations expect the next group to come to power. Democratic or otherwise, the government, which replaces the current regime, will be laser -oriented upon the survival of Iran. And there are very few reasons why Israel or the United States will think that a restructured Iran will reconcile against both countries when the war ends.
Fact is that nationalismnot theocracy, but the historian Ali Ansari’s “Determination of Ideology“As people in Iran’s policy began with the idea of oluştur a constant and uninterrupted history of Iran, it starts with the idea of ayan a nation out of an old past”. Nationalism presents the wide political arena in which different groups and ideologies in Iran compete for power and authority, whether monarchist, Islamist or leftist.
And this means that Iran’s patriotic defense is not a transition phase produced under the duration of the bombs, but in the last two centuries of Iran, the default position that holds Iran together, great ideas and trauma Region and loss of dignity to external powers Russians, English And Americans.
Getting rid of the Islamic administration will not change this dynamics; Something worse It will come by sending Iranian politics in unexpected and abrasive aspects. As a result, the Americans, how populist reactions to foreign invasions, real or imaginedcan lead unthinkable consequences.
“Trump guaranteed that Iran would be a nuclear weapon state in the next 5 to 10 years, Tr Trita Parsi of the US -based Quinte Institute said. written Saturday night. This is especially true if a new regime is democratic. Promised “liberation“It offers the worst scenario for Israel and the United States through the destructive bombing campaigns of the Iranian people, because the future elected government will not survive unless it continues and perhaps instilled.
There is a tragedy here. Ordinary Iranians, like most people, prefer peace and security through diplomacy and dialogue. Last week’s unsupened attacks and not only the US, but also almost all European UnionA terrible series that started with Trump’s immoral violation of President Obama Iranian agreement In 2018, the increasing number of Iranian, nuclear or other kinds of weapons National suicide.
As long as the Islamic Republic can claim that this is Only The Iranian government has lost “a inch soil çok for more than 200 years and continues to stick to power. Of course, such a legitimacy comes with a dual edge. This regime can survive in the short term, but if it falls and falls, the leaders could not keep their arms out of Israel and American arms, but they will kill more than other citizens in less than a week. accordingly Washington -based group human rights activists.
In the case of Iran, one of the most common contracts of generally presented as a grace gesture distinction To accuse the country of the country and the people of the country for a long time, not the citizens of the country for the status of a bandit actor of their countries. As a way to object to the accuracy of the case to the Iranians, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his deputies deployed the most harsh Civilization tropics that would even make the most harsh Fars Shoumanist fry. Israeli Prime Minister on Thursday announced It was time for the Jews to repay an old debt: “I want to tell you that the Great Cyrus saved the Jews of the King of Iran. And today a Jewish state creates tools to save Persia people.” With this logic, the change of regime is a project of healing and revival, which is a definite way to make Iran wonder again.
The Iranians prove that they are less nuanced and convinced. The distance between the Iranian state and society was not reduced to almost anything last week. In the range of experience and pain, imprisoned Nobel Peace Award Awards and Previous Palm D’Or winners To the working class employee The priority feeling in Iran is clear: these clergy can be low, but they are our bastards, our problem of solving.
About 50 years after an unwanted dictatorship, the Iranians developed a refined capacity to describe bad intention. They know who is in the heart of Iran and who tries to save him skin.
Iranian American Setin Malekzadeh Is a visit assistant Professor of Political Science at Pitzer College and the author of the book “Fire under the Ash: Green Movement and Democracy Struggle in Iran, 2009-2019”.
