google.com, pub-8701563775261122, DIRECT, f08c47fec0942fa0
USA

Dow futures jump 300 points as markets eye another serving of the TACO trade after Trump says ‘Don’t worry about China’

Investors are eyeing a rebound in the stock market after Friday’s trade war flare-up sent the S&P 500 to its worst loss since April.

On Sunday, President Donald Trump tried to calm nerves. Sharing on Truth SocialAfter announcing that it would implement it on Friday 100 percent additional customs duty to China and limit U.S. software exports.

“Don’t worry about China, everything will be fine!” wrote. “The highly respected President Xi has had a bad moment. He doesn’t want a crisis for his country, and neither do I. The US wants to help China, not hurt it!!!”

Meanwhile, Vice President J.D. Vance said: Fox News Sunday Morning Will ComeHe said both the United States and China were willing to act reasonably, although he insisted that Trump had “many more cards” than Beijing did.

The change in intonation contrasts with this Trump’s fiery rhetoric on Friday He attacked China over its new export controls on rare earths, which are critical inputs in a range of industries.

“Market participants appear to be once again turning to the TACO trade, driven not only by what we have seen in the recent past but also by conciliatory statements from both President Trump and Vice President Vance over the weekend suggesting that Friday’s announcement of additional 100% tariffs on Chinese imports will be little more than a negotiating tactic,” Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone, wrote in a note on Sunday. supported.” he said.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 344 points, or 0.75%. S&P 500 futures rose 0.94 percent and Nasdaq futures rose 1.2 percent.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell 8.9 basis points to 4.059%. The US dollar increased by 0.23% against the euro and 0.65% against the yen. Gold rose 0.85 percent to $4,034.40 per ounce. U.S. oil futures rose 0.92% to $59.44 per barrel and Brent crude rose 1% to $63.35.

Trump previously imposed 145 percent tariffs on China, then suspended them to allow negotiations to continue. A similar situation occurred with other trading partners such as the European Union, causing Wall Street to ignore maximalist threats. TACO (Trump always shy) trade.

Trump’s new China tariff, which will take effect on Nov. 1 and raise the overall level to 130%, appears to be another example of Trump’s “de-escalation to de-escalate tensions” strategy, Brown said.

“Assuming this is another ‘TACO’ situation and some clarity has been achieved on this front before too long, this will likely prove another decline in stocks which should be viewed as a buying opportunity and the path of least resistance continues to rise, albeit in a somewhat choppy fashion,” he added.

Brown also predicted that the Federal Reserve’s return to interest rate cuts at a time of still solid economic growth should continue to support the dollar, which would likely weather tariff threats.

Similarly, Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research and market veteran, thinks the US and China are pulling back from the cliff.

“If neither side blinked, the U.S. and Chinese economies would drag the global economy into a deep recession, if not depression,” he wrote in a note Sunday. “But given the extremely negative consequences of the trade war between the world’s two largest economies, we expect both sides to blink very soon.”

For your part, Beijing remained defiantThe commerce ministry said on Sunday that China does not want a tariff war but also does not fear it. It was also stated that export controls are not a ban on rare earth shipments, but a sovereign right.

But China’s new rare earth export policy ups the ante Far beyond just another tit-for-tat exchange in the trade war against the US

Dean Ball, who served as a senior advisor in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy earlier this year. wrote to x On Saturday, he said the policy gave Beijing the power to “ban any country in the world from participating in the modern economy.”

Dali Yang, a political science professor at the University of Chicago, sounded a similar alarm. Release on SundayHe said this move marks a defining moment that reveals what a China-led order could look like.

When we look beyond rare earths, we see something that strengthens control over strategic materials and technologies to support global influence.

“China is effectively saying: ‘We control the veins of high-tech civilization.’ “The rest of the world now sees this message clearly and is scrambling to build new circulatory systems,” Yang wrote.

This story first appeared on: Fortune.com

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back to top button