European Central Bank interest rate decision, September 2025

The European Central Bank kept its interest rates constant on Thursday, while the economic uncertainty continued after the aggressive tariff agenda of the USA Donald Trump.

Prior to the decision, the markets priced about 99% of the possibility that the key deposit facility rate of ECB would be left in 2% for the second time in a row. The Central Bank reduced the latest rates in June and fell more than last year’s record high 4 %.

Despite inflation in the euro zone, ECB struggles with global economic uncertainty airy The Central Bank’s 2% target in recent months and a trade agreement with the EU is a trade agreement

Transatlantic partners accepted 15% blanket tariffs in EU exports to the United States in July with more information about the framework that emerged last month. He discussed some questions for key European sectors such as Pharmaceuticals.

However, the questions continue because some problems such as provisions for the wine and souls sector have been left open. After Trump’s threat of retaliation against the EU, concerns about further tariffs also increased AlphabetGoogle is fined $ 3.45 billion.

The fear of the impact of tariffs on economic growth continues. Growth in the euro zone, even if the rates have fallen, Figures In the previous period, it grew only 0.1% in the second quarter after a 0.6% enlargement.

The interest rate decision itself is widely expected, but Deutsche Bank economists said last week that “the focus will be on the signals of the lead for the monetary policy”.

For this reason, it is expected to focus on the press conference of Christine Lagarde, the president of the markets on Thursday and to the latest projections for inflation and economic growth. The Central Bank updated its latest economic forecasts in June.

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