Airlines pay the price as no-go airspace increases due to global conflicts | Airline industry

Almost 48 hours after the US launched strikes against Iran, the rapid rebuilding of close -to -normal service surrounding the war zone, underlining that several crises, which shorten global pandem, have long been flying for a long time.

British Airways was planning to restart flights to Doha and Dubai’s Middle East cities after canceling departures from Heathrow at the weekend. However, on Monday evening, Qatar closed the airspace again because it launched a missile attack on Iran’s US bases in the country.

However, considering the critical Gulf centers in international aviation in the routes where the relevant airports were limited and the geopolitical jam is further tightened, the intervals so far have been important.

The first job of the industry is to avoid unnecessary risk with uncertain threats after the increase in the conflict in the Middle East, and the access of modern drone and missile attacks. Aviation has long stressed that security has been very important, but this month Air India has shook with a disaster, the most deadly accident of a modern, planned plane for many years.

Certainly, the global air traffic, which wanted to connect Europe and Asia, has already been forced to a tighter funnel: Passenger planes have not been flying to Ukraine since the Russian invasion three years ago, and most Western airlines have been banned from the Russian airspace. This, for example, made London-Japanese flights unable to survive for the airlines competing with Chinese carriers who could continue a direct route to Russia, and many have returned accordingly.

The closure of the sky of Ukraine combined the congestion in European aviation, and many operators competed for safe transition, while air traffic control delays. A similar scenario, Aviation Analyst from JLS Consulting, John Strickland, can emerge in the usual corridors currently present in the Middle East: “The Gulf is a busy region even for the airlines that is not there.

For now, the route over Iraq and Iran is out of the borders, and the aviation in Israel is limited to a few rescue flights operated by El Al to bring the Nationals home. EASAS, the European Security Agency, has advised against flying through Syria, Jordan and Lebanon since June 13, and a part of the Egyptian airspace is considered a risk.

In the herd of aircraft drawn in monitoring areas such as Flightradar24, increasing immobile areas can be clearly seen. Some airlines are now traveling to the north via Georgia and Afghanistan, while others are forced to return to the east via Saudi Arabia in the southwest.

Gulf carriers, despite the boundaries, most services continue to operate normally – Emirates’s current cancellation only on the ongoing cancellations directly for Tehran and Baghdad.

Singapore Airlines and Airfance-KLM are among those who participated in BA during the weekend cancellations, while Finnair, which is much more by Ukraine and Russia, took all the flights to Doha by the end of the month.

Emergency moves for cancellations will be motivated by security primarily. However, in the longer term, programs will be dictated from longer flights and profit margins with more devastating delays potential.

“Adding significant time to flights, it makes them more expensive because they burn more fuel, not just late,” Strickland says. “And if the crew lasts longer, they have to cancel flights with restrictions during working hours and the potential disappearance of the crew – and the reasons for security and security.”

Stock prices in the airlines have fallen to various degrees since Israel launched the first attack on June 12th. Airlines will also follow the rising oil price – and in recent weeks, the premium paid for the jet fuel that rises more sharply than the raw price.

The world has been eager to fly since the Covid crisis and willing to pay premiums. Risk protection means that the price of oil can filter on wages this summer, but Ryanir can already pay themselves more for privilege, pointing out that wages will rise this year.