How will Israel’s war with Iran affect Benjamin Netanyahu’s future? | Benjamin Netanyahu

When Benjamin Netanyahu explained the peace opportunities that Israel could bring in his short war with Iran, the supporters took him to his promise.

Israel’s longest -time serving prime minister said, “This victory offers an opportunity for the dramatic expansion of peace agreements. He said in a previously recorded statement on Thursday.

The critics of the 75 -year -old leader saw something else.

“No matter what he does, he tries to turn everything into his own benefit… This is a man who never takes responsibility but just gets credit… Everything is opportunistic and everything is processing.

Netanyahu’nun in power will stay in power, the country’s fear and joy of the last weeks is a question that burns in Israel because it is saved from Rollcoaster.

The Iranian war apparently, the conflict in Gaza returned to headlines. The day after the US declared a ceasefire, the seven Israeli soldiers died in an old armored vehicle in the south of the ruined region, and began to make more emergency calls in Israel to end the hostility there.

In headlines, the deep divisions of Netanyahu in the Israeli society and coalition after the elections in November 2022. This is the right -wing government in Israel so far, and since October 7, 2023, militants raided Israel, mostly civilian and other judiciary.

For Prof Tamar Hermann, a public expert in public opinion Israeli Institute of DemocracyThe war has changed littlely in terms of Israel’s polarized domestic policy.

“Netanyahu’s supporters support him even more, and competitors oppose as before. [war against Iran] It is very successful but do not give a loan to Netanyahu. He gets some points… But not too much, Herman Hermann said.

Netanyahu loyalists hope to get great support in the ballot boxes.

Udi Tenne, strategic consultant and campaign manager for ministers in the current government, said, “Operation [against Iran] Prime Minister Netanyahu was undoubtedly right, but at the same time he also benefited him in an undeniable way. Metaphorically, the missiles initiated in Iran landed in the Israeli opposition. “

A key question is whether the perceived victory against Iran will persuade sufficient voters to forget that the 2023 attack, which is the worst security failure of Israel, is not only at the time of Netanyahu, but also to forget that it can be attributed to the policies it has followed for more than a decade.

“Since that terrible day, Israel’s security situation has improved significantly: Iranian threat has been neutralized, Syria has collapsed. [the Lebanese militant group] Hezbollah was seriously damaged and Gaza is dismantled. We live with a deep security transformation – and for this, the big credit is caused by IDF [Israel Defense Forces] And to the government, ”the tenne said.

Others are less convinced and Latest surveys inconclusive. The relatively small gains made by Netanyahu’s power Likud Party will not guarantee a large extent at the expense of other coalition parties, especially in the most rights and any election.

A requirement for a 90 -day gap between the termination of parliament and the new elections means that a questionnaire will be a major risk for Netanyahu, even if his personal ratings have increased.

“People will give Netanyahu a lot of loans for operation against Iran and the surveys show this. But they did not forget [the 7 October attack] And politics was not less separatist. ”

Netanyahu’s tactical instincts have no doubt during his long and controversial career. They are still appreciated by their supporters and they are painfully regretted by the detectors. “One of his biggest political talents is that he knows how to delay and emerge temporary temporary solutions for another day,” Harkov said.

The leaders of the opposition parties of Israel were encouraged by the last weekends and voters – permanent corruption allegations, Netanyahu’s ongoing graft trial, whether the Orthodox Jews should be exempted from necessity, said they would come to the forefront as new elections.

Others say that Netanyahu’s political base is far from being monolithic, and his comments on the cost of the family’s family caused anger.

Netanyahu’s political death was often estimated in October 2023. However, not only maintain power, but also constantly left its opponents and competitors behind. The proposal to reduce the government was defeated narrowly the day before Israel launched warplanes against Iran.

“I hopelessly needed some success. I do not think this is a coincidence when I was examined at the corruption hearing,” Mekelberg said.

There is no doubt who will be responsible in the coming years. “He returned to power with a solid grip,” he said. “If David Ben-Gurion declared Israel’s independence, then Benjamin Netanyahu, who guarantees his future now.”

Netanyahu seems to have been convinced. The Parliamentary period only bought time until the end of autumn to go only before a three -month summer recess.

“I have more goals and I will do it as long as I believe I can fulfill,” he said last week.