Israel Is Weighing Its Options In Gaza. Here Are 4 Scenarios For What May Happen Next.

Israel He directed his enemies in the region but has not yet come back all hostages From the Gaza Strip. Hamas seems to have been destroyed by military, but The rebel continued to attacks. Gazza ruins and experts Sline to famineand long -term ceasefire talks it looks like it was broken.

So where do we go from here?

Both Israel and Hamas adopted the visions of how the war should end, but the mediator Egypt and Qatar from the two American administrations have not yet closed the gaps. There are at least two more scenarios in which the war continues indefinitely, with an unimaginable cost of Gaza’s 2 million Palestinians, Israeli hostages and their families.

Israeli media for days, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reported that he was on the verge of ordering Gaza’s re -emergence For the first time that Israel withdrew twenty years ago with soldiers and settlers. He is probably expected to meet with a security cabinet late on Thursday to decide.

This means sending ground troops to several regions of Gaza, which is not completely destroyed, about 25% of the area where most of the 2 million people took refuge in Muwasi, including the spread of coastal displacement camps.

Numerous more Palestinian deaths and more mass displacement will lead to serious risk of 20 live hostages. In addition, Israel will fully control the region in order to provide security by international law and to meet the basic needs of the population.

Regeneration, an international anger and Israel and the US more isolated In Israel, there is also opposition to those who fear hostages and warn a swamp on a swamp.

However, Netanyahu has strong support among the far -right administration partners who want to re -conquer Gaza, to move most of the population to other countries and to rebuild Jewish settlements.

Hamas said that all the hostages in exchange for the Palestinians imprisoned by Israel will withdraw a full Israel from Gaza and a permanent ceasefire would release.

This was accepted by demands Biden administration And UN Security Council A year ago and in January, he took part in the ceasefire agreement by the Trump administration. This brought a six -week ceasefire, the release of 25 living hostages and the ruins of eight people and a flood of humanitarian aid.

The two sides had to use this pause to negotiate a more permanent ceasefire. In its place, Israel ceasefire finished in MarchTo request the release of another temporary ceasefire and some of the remaining hostages.

Israel is afraid that withdrawal from Gaza will allow Hamas to rebuild the military machine at the end of Hamas, and even if it does not have the official power, even if it paves the way for another attack in the style of October 7.

Netanyahu may also be afraid that his far -right allies will follow the threats of lowering the government if he accepts such conditions. This can syllable the end of almost 16 years in power and leave it more vulnerable. Long -standing corruption charges and investigations Security and Intelligence Failures around the 2023 attack.

Netanyahu said he would end the war when all hostages returned and Hamas agreed or agreed to disarm and exile.

But even then, he says that Israel will follow the plans To displace most of the Gaza population With what he calls “voluntary migration ,, to other countries. Palestinians and most international society see plans as forcibly deportation in the violation of international law.

Netanyahu said that Israel was willing to take several live hostages and a temporary ceasefire that Hamas is imprisoned by Israel, a flood of humanitarian aid and a partial Israel withdrawal. Later, they would end the war, but Israel would require the disarmament of Hamas.

Hamas said he was willing to surrender power to other Palestinians, but he will not extend his arms Israel occupies the territory Palestinians want a future state. He also wants to guarantee that Israel will not continue the war as in March.

More military climbing can make more concessions. However, Hamas lost thousands of fighters and almost many areas in Gaza, where he did not control the best leaders in Gaza. The most powerful allies Iran and Hezbollah weakened seriously.

Hostage last bargain chip It was also organized by Hamas, who has a strong martyr culture.

It is quite possible that the war will continue in the current case.

Israel can continue to make daily strikes in the area that says that it only targets militants, but often kills adult civilians and children. Hamas can sometimes kill Israeli by killing a low -hit attacks. Additional measures to get more food to Gaza can get rid of famine and allow help will be distributed safer.

Hostages can survive for months or even years under captivity.

Israel can bring new leadership, even if Netanyahu keeps its coalition intact.

Which scenario emerges, providing significant military and diplomatic support to Israel and Netanyahu proved to be leveraged When he started a ceasefire between Israel and Iran after the 12 -day war in June.

Trump said he wanted to end the war in Gaza and bring the remaining hostages home, but he did not put public pressure on Israel and seems to have fully accepted his conditions for the cease -fire.

When asked if Israel would support Gaza on Tuesday, Trump said, Tr Trump said, “This will almost stay in Israel.”

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