Impact on AFL team, stadium plan; what polls say about Rockliff, Winter’s chances
Tasmania is looking at the barrel of another hanging parliament, as liberal Prime Minister Jeremy Rockliff is likely to recycle Snap Election Gambit’s majority government.
The financial health of the AFL team of Tasmania and the province is in balance between a deep political division on the Hobart Stadium, which is supported by the Great Parties but strongly opposed by greenery and some cross recipes.
Voters He will go to the polls on Saturday The fourth state elections in 16 months – and in seven years. However, very few are optimistic, it will lead to a new period of political stability.
Tasmanian Prime Minister Jeremy Rockliff visited the governor of the state who wanted to make early elections.Credit: Ethan James/AAP
How did we come here
The election was called after the liberal Prime Minister Jeremy Rockliff, who pioneered a minority government that trusts independently, and Jacqui Lambie Network deputy lost a movement that did not trust the lower house on June 5th.
Opposition leader Dean Winter, the movement of 18-17 votes, in response to the state’s budget, to sell energy companies and Tasmanian ships to plan the delivery of the new spirit of the Bungled Bungled Delivery of Budget Response Speech.
Six days after the movement, Rockcliff visited the Governor Barbara Baker to demand an early election rather than forced to quit.
“Another choice is not what I want, and I know that Tasmanians don’t want, Rock Rockcliff said.
“But it was forced to us by the opposition leader.”
AFL Chief Andrew Dillon launched Tasmania Devils in March 2024.Credit: Getty
What does it have to do with him?
The recommended $ 945 million Macquarie Point Stadium on Hobart continues to be the subject of hot button for many Tazmanalı.
In 2023, after years of lobby and negotiations, Finally, the state was given a team of creation licenses -Thismania demons-and will participate in the league in 2028. AFL signed commitments with Tasmania and the Federal Government for the construction of a 23,000 -person stadium, a state of the club’s entry into AFL.
No stadium, no team. Since then, the stadium has been involved in political turmoil and economic uncertainty, With the latest opinion survey showing that 60 percent of Tasmanians opposed the development demanded by AFL.
The election means a vote for the postponement of the new stadium. So what will happen now?
The State Government missed the deadline for AFL from AFL to obtain all the planning and environmental approvals required for the stadium. In order to approve the stadium, the legislation will need to be discussed under the next government, with new numbers in the lower house.
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Both labor and liberal leaders said they would support the stadium, but the greens, citizens and some independent independents opposite development.
It is unlikely that both parties will win most of the seats in this election, so they will need the support of greens or Crossbench to form a government.
One threat is that anti-Stadium Crossbencher demands that stadium plans be reduced or replaced, which is not a major movement for AFL.
18 AFL Club President unanimously supported the league’s 19th team plan. However, if the stadium agreement falls, they will have the chance to withdraw their support. The stadium and demons stand in the limo until the election results become clear.
Who said what?
Governor Barbara Baker in June: “Despite the last 2024 election, the public mood, which prevails from the cost of another election and the public mood that prevailed against an election, gave a termination to the Premier Rockliff.”
Opposition leader Dean Winter: “Today, I made a notification of a movement that says that this house did not trust premiere. Because because it ruined the budget. Because it plans to sell our energy companies, ports and public transportation.
AFL General Manager Andrew Dillon: “Now sitting here, 2028 is still on the agenda. We are looking forward to working with the government to offer a stadium for all Tasmania.”
What do the Tasmanians actually care about?
Melbourne University Election Analyst Adrian Beaumont said that a new AFL team is not the main problem for most Tazmanalı.
On the contrary, many of them were more interested in budget, housing and health status.
An artist’s impression of the Macquarie Point Stadium proposed on Hobart.
In a new Yougov survey52 percent of Tasmania voters showed health as one of the most important priorities and built 45 percent more public housing as a fundamental concern.
Reducing the state debt was the biggest concern of 41 percent of voters, 34 percent opposed the privatization of state assets, and 33 percent opposed as one of the first priorities against the Macquarie Point Stadium.
While only 22 percent supported the stadium offer, less than one out of five voters gave priority to privatization or policies that cut public services.
Meanwhile, a study of 842 Tasmanian voters for the Australian Institute found that Tasmanians believed that the state had taken themselves by AFL and believed that the state should re -negotiate with the league.
Beaumont said that the stable support of a new stadium of the two big parties could lead to an increase in support for small parties and independents.
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“People who oppose the stadium have to vote for someone other than the big parties,” he said.
Beaumont also believes that Labour refused to make an agreement with the greens to form a government in 2024.
What do the surveys say?
Most of the surveys are the most likely result of a hanging parliament, which will force large parties to meet with greens or independents.
After the 2024 elections, the worker can establish a government with the Greens, a partnership rejected by the party. However, Winter continued to make an agreement with only “logical” independent independents.
Election Analyst Kevin Bonham said that while Labour initially expected to win the most seats, he suggested the opposite of new surveys.
Bonham wrote, “This led to a view that the Labor Party could really be backfired or at least affect the Labor Party. Bon Bonham wrote Bonham. His blog.
“Tasmanians may vote for the same or perhaps a better liberal position.”
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