Scotland to launch government ‘kilt’ bonds

The Scottish Parliament pictured at sunset from Salisbury Cliffs in Holyrood Park, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Oli Scarff | AFP | Getty Images
The Scottish government announced plans on Thursday to issue its first government bonds in 2026/27 as it plans to raise funds for infrastructure investment.
This will be the first issuance of the £1.5bn ($1.97bn) bond programme, which is set to be rolled out during the next parliamentary term, which starts with elections in May next year. However, officials stated that the plans depended on the outcome of the government elections.
Scotland is part of the United Kingdom but operates as a devolved nation, meaning it has its own government. Decisions on macroeconomic policy rest with the UK government, although the Scottish parliament has certain limited powers over income tax and parts of the economy.
On Wednesday, S&P Global and Moody’s gave the Scottish government their first credit ratings, with the agencies giving Scotland ratings equivalent to the United Kingdom and higher than the governments of Spain, Italy and Japan.
‘Investor friendly target’
“The Scottish Government’s high credit ratings are testament to Scotland’s history of strong institutions, responsible financial management and a pro-business environment,” Scottish First Minister John Swinney said in a statement on Thursday. he said.
He argued that the issuance of Scottish government bonds, popularly known as kilts, was a step towards “a prosperous future where our country takes responsibility for its own decisions”.
Swinney added on Thursday: “Whilst specific issuance plans will be subject to market conditions closer to that time, we will shortly begin discussions with banks to act as joint lead managers to ensure the next Scottish Government moves forward without delay.”
The Scottish government was given the power to issue its own bonds almost a decade ago, but until now it has been borrowing using the UK National Credit Fund.
In 2023 the Scottish Government Investor Panel recommended floating government bonds on the public market as a way to raise the country’s profile and attract inward investment.
Angus Macpherson, chairman of financial consultancy Noble and Co and former co-chair of the Investor Panel, said Scotland’s credit rating would help the country make progress towards these targets.
“This is a positive step forward and shows that they are serious about becoming a more investor-friendly destination,” he said in a statement on Thursday.
Accounting giant EY is advising the Scottish government on its bond issue.
Scottish independence
Both Moody’s and S&P Global this week emphasized that the credit rating given to Scotland was given to the country as a devolved country of the United Kingdom.
“We may downgrade Scotland if it takes concrete steps towards independence from the UK,” S&P Global said in a statement on Wednesday. he said. “Our rating on Scotland reflects our view of the UK’s supportive and clearly defined institutional framework for devolved territories (nations), as well as Scotland’s prudent fiscal policies.”
The agency noted that Scotland will continue to receive a large grant from the UK to cover much of its spending, including infrastructure investment.
“Limited borrowing requirements and gradually maturing liabilities will result in very low total debt of just 10% of operating income by 2027,” S&P Global added.
Meanwhile, Moody’s said that downgrading England’s credit rating would likely have similar consequences for Scotland.
Explaining the logic behind the rating it gave to Scotland, the organization said, “Difficulties in balancing the budget due to rapidly increasing spending pressures or large reductions in block grants will also put downward pressure on the rating.” he said.
“Although not in our base case, Scottish independence could put downward pressure on the rating by increasing uncertainty around the institutional framework and potentially increasing financial stability risks.”
scotland electorate We narrowly voted against leaving the UK In the referendum held in 2014, the Swinney government insisted that the country maintain its independence.
“Scotland is a rich country with enormous potential, but too many people in Scotland today struggle to make a living,” he said in an article making the case for independence when published last month.
“This is because living standards in the UK have hardly improved in the last 15 years, due to Westminster decisions such as the imposition of austerity and the disastrous decision to leave the European Union.”
Data released on Thursday showed Britain’s economic growth slowed to a lower-than-expected 0.1% in the third quarter of this year. Later this month, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves is expected to increase the country’s tax burden as the country reels from the cost of living crisis that has emerged in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic.
The UK currently has the highest long-term borrowing costs of any G-7 government. 30 year government bond yield trading well above the critical 5% threshold.
— CNBC’s Hugh Leask contributed to this report.
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