Investors brace for oil price spike after Iran attack
The US attack on Iran on Iran can lead to a knee -shaking reaction in global markets when they are reopened, sends oil prices higher and hurry to security, investors say how the latest rise of tensions will fluctuate in the global economy.
The social media site reality by President Donald Trump deepens the US participation in the Middle East conflict.
This was the question that entered the weekend where investors combined a number of different market scenarios.
Immediately after the announcement, they waited for the US participation to cause a possible offer for the dollar and other safe assets when a sale in stocks and trade in stocks, but he said there was too much uncertainty about the course of the conflict.
“I think the markets will be alarm at the beginning and I think oil will be opened higher, Mark said Mark Spindel, Potomac River Capital’s chief investment manager.
“We don’t have any damage assessment and that will take some time.
“Although he described it as ‘over’, we got engaged. What’s next?” Spindel said.
“I think uncertainty will cover the markets, because now Americans will emerge everywhere. Especially oil will increase uncertainty and volatility.”
However, Spindel said it was time to digest the news before the markets were opened.
A fundamental concern for markets will focus on oil prices of developments in the Middle East and therefore on the potential impact on inflation.
An increase in inflation may reduce consumer’s confidence and reduce the chances of recent US interest rates.
“This is adding a complex new risk of risk that we need to consider and pay attention to, Jack said Jack Ablin, Cresset Capital’s chief investment manager.
“This will definitely have an impact on energy prices and potentially inflation.”
Global Comparison Brent Ham Futures rose to 18 percent since June 10, and on Thursday, the highest level of almost five months hit $ 79.04 (A121.82), while S&P 500 changed slightly after the first decline in Iran on June 13th.
Before the US attack on Saturday, Oxford Economics analysts modeled three scenarios, such as an increase in conflict, a complete closure in Iranian oil production, and the Strait of the Hormuz Strait, each of which is increasingly on global oil prices ”.
In the most violent case, global oil prices lasted about $ 130 per barrel ($ A200), and US inflation lasted nearly six percent until the end of 2025.
“Although price shock inevitably reduces consumer expenditures due to real income access, concerns about the increase in inflation and the potential of the second round of inflation effects, this year, the United States ruins the chance of any ratio deduction.”
Economists warn that a dramatic increase in oil prices may harm a global economy that is forced by Trump’s tariffs.
A climbing in conflict may have mixed effects on the US dollar due to concerns about the US exceptionicism.
Analysts, in case of direct participation of the US-Israeli War, the dollar can initially benefit from a security offer, he said.
“Do we see a flight to security? The yields will decrease and the dollar will be strengthened, Stek
“It is difficult to imagine that stocks do not react negatively, and how much is the question. Iran will depend on Iran’s reaction and whether oil prices increase.”
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