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Investors Dump Microsoft Shares Despite Largest Earnings Beat in Company History

  • Microsoft (MSFT) shares have fallen below $400 despite their biggest gain ever. Investors are demanding that AI spending creates sustainable margins.

  • Microsoft shares are down 17.46% this year despite a 47% operating margin and 26% cloud revenue growth.

  • Google is down just 1.2% this year by integrating AI into existing products. NVIDIA held firm, selling infrastructure without promising future returns.

  • A recent study identified a single habit that doubled Americans’ retirement savings and took retirement from dream to reality. Read more here.

Microsoft, one of the biggest names in the technology world (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares fell below $400 despite setting the record for the biggest earnings in the company’s history; Investors question whether the company’s massive AI infrastructure spending will translate into profitable product adoption. The stock has lost nearly a fifth of its value this year as investors shift away from AI infrastructure plays to companies that make real product money. Retail investor sentiment on Reddit remains neutral at 51.88, reflecting this confusion.

The disconnect underscores Wall Street’s anxiety about making money from AI, as Microsoft posted record operating margins of over 47% and grew cloud revenue by double digits (26% year-on-year), but shares collapsed from their peak as Wall Street demanded evidence that big AI spending is translating into sustainable margins rather than just revenue growth. The market does not question Microsoft’s operational excellence; It demands evidence that AI spending delivers sustainable returns, not just revenue growth. Despite returning billions of dollars to shareholders and generating record quarterly revenue, the market is punishing Microsoft for failing to show that its AI infrastructure spending will generate sustainable returns.

24/7 Wall St. · 24/7 Wall St.

Despite record profits and strong cloud revenue in Q2 2026, Microsoft’s stock performance is impacted by market concern about sustainable AI margins against large AI spending, reflected by a neutral social sentiment.

The most engaged post on r/stocks captured the tension perfectly, with 407 upvotes and 386 comments. The author of this highly-engaged Reddit post argued that Microsoft’s more than 1.5 billion Windows devices give Copilot a unique distribution advantage, and that current product weaknesses reflect initial criticism of Google’s Bard before Google doubled its stock.

Why are people so pessimistic about MSFT?
In stock by u/HexadecimalCowboy

“Microsoft has more than 1.5 billion Windows devices, and Copilot is integrated into all of them. This gives Microsoft a unique deployment advantage that no other AI company can replicate,” the post’s author wrote. They also suggested that current skepticism reflects early criticism of Google’s Bard, noting that “people said the same thing about Bard being inferior to ChatGPT, but after they showed AI integration in their product suite, Google’s shares doubled.”

Another popular discussion examined why Microsoft fell after outperforming earnings, highlighting the disconnect between operational performance and market reaction.

Here’s why MSFT fell 10% after outpacing earnings
with [deleted] in stock

But Wall Street isn’t buying it. The main concerns are around the gap between AI infrastructure investment and actual product monetization driving the sales centre, with investors demanding concrete evidence that spend is translating into sustainable margins.

The disconnect between analysts’ optimism and market pricing highlights Wall Street’s demand for hard evidence that AI can be monetized. Microsoft is trading at 25 times trailing earnings, with analysts forecasting a significant upside, but the stock is trading near bearish levels as investors price in the risk of significant AI monetization, which 33 “Strong Buy” analysts have collectively rejected. The market is punishing Microsoft not for operational failures but for failing to demonstrate that its billions of dollars of AI infrastructure spending will deliver sustainable margin expansion rather than just revenue growth.

The difference between it and other tech giants reveals Microsoft’s unique challenge. Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) is down just 1.2% year-to-date by integrating AI into existing profitable products, while NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) remains essentially flat for 2026 by selling off key infrastructure rather than promising to make money in the future. Microsoft is particularly being punished for the gap between AI infrastructure spending and product adoption. Investors want evidence that the company’s claim that “the AI ​​business is larger than some of our largest franchises” means sustainable margins, not just revenue.

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