Is Andrew Hastie coming at Sussan Ley for the Liberal leadership?

Opposition leader Sussan Ley Knacked. Senator Jacinta Jacinta Nampijinpa Pricice after the drama caused by the racing oath, now has to deal with canned MP Andrew Hastie.

We do not make any assumptions about Hastie’s personal requests, but in the last 16 years Crirase A very clear idea of ​​the different stages of the leadership coup.

Let’s see how the last event is listed.

Step 1: Early Whispers

The first major challenge is to define yourself as the future leadership material.

This stage may take years. In detail David Marr’s Three -month trial “Power trip”At the beginning of the 2000s, Kevin Rudd built his reputation as a cute gain. Sunrise And an intellectual man in a series of profiles. Michael Gordon Age He said to him, “The artist who stands out on the Crean Front bench.”

However, everyone who has been interested in Australian politics in the last twenty years knows that there is a permanent Russian-mail approach to leadership shedding. Julia Gillard, who also entered the parliament with Rudd – actually gave their hymen addresses on the same day – was approved by a luminaire less than Mark Latham as a future leader. IPSOS SURVEY IN 2006 Put it on the pile in terms of popularity.

For him, Hastie was a “rising star”. Since 2017And this statement started Releases in the media Peter Dutton’s 2025 campaign began to decrease.

Step 2: Removal of the prisoners

To move things, you should give the impression that there are some great ideas on your arm.

Although Tony Abbott is less popular than the opposition leader Malcolm Turnbull, presented plans For the future in the book of the liberal party BatLineinesIn July 2009, six months before the shock victory – with a single vote – in a leadership vote against Turnbull.

After a very quiet election, which seems to be quite cautious with Gez, Hastie emerges with many thoughts on how to work for liberals. He added spices recently Threatens to leave If the party remains connected to the net zero policy by 2050, then later.

Step 3: Gather the forces and create chaos

This is a fun part and if you are stable enough, this may take this stage.

Rudd, which was closed by Gillard, never began to rest for a moment. He left the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in February 2012. Gillard after a few days LeadershipHe won comfortably. But it was far from the end of this.

Sniping reached a ridiculous and unpleasant summit with a second spill on March 21, 2013 – time for Gillard to remain in the shade Forced adoption apologize to the victims. Gillard and then Deputy Prime Minister Wayne Swan ended RunningRudd decided that he didn’t want to play 10 minutes before the match. Gillard dismissed Ringleader Simon Craan and declared that leadership fights were settled. They – and this will shock you – did not settle.

But Rudd was busy compressing some of his friends to support him. In June of that year, Labour’s vote fell, Rudd pro -petition started to collect signature He supports him to save the furniture. Gillard sought another spill and this time 57 to 45 loss.

This weekend, Hastie has released a slippery social media that burned the end of the Australian automobile industry. When anonymous colleagues go Australia Hastie answered in an angrily to predict that the video should be the cost of the video.

“In the article, anonymous cowards briefing,” he said.

Hastie, Coalition Senators Price and Matt Monster and friends were ready to “jump” to their defense. Nine articles To call the quotations of liberal colleagues as “pathetic ..

Moreover, SMH “A few deputies who do not want to go in the registration, the party’s Ley’s leadership vote for the right -speed candidate Angus Taylor, Hastie’nin Ley’den the best candidate to highlight the conservative wing of the party,” he said.

Meanwhile, Self Reports About Apparently growing support level About the liberal party for Hastie.

Step 4: Boredoms sometimes wins

Another wonderful aspect of being a “Leadership Material, is inevitably to take the preliminary position (Hastie became the Minister of Shadow for the Interior in May 2025) and you can leave later.

For example, use Tony Abbott. After a wild couple as prime minister – an empty chair and just won – Abbott’s reign finally ended. The disaster optics of “Choppergate”. Malcolm Turnbull quickly resigned as Minister of Communication and challenged the leadership on September 14, 2015. 54 to 44 won.

However, it does not always work that way. Peter, then Minister of the Interior, Resigned from his position in August 2018 After the first unsuccessful slope under the leadership of the liberal party. The second challenge was half successful because he closed Turnbull, but he only succeeded. Delivering the office to Scott Morrison.

Here is when you know that it has become serious for a non -moderate conservative liberal candidate: Self Run a piece about your principled journey to reach where you are.

August 22, 2018, “Peter Dutton’s rise and Brawls” (“Brisbane warrior was always ready to give a chance”), although the desired effect does not have the desired effect, we will pay attention to something similar to Hastie.

Australia It would have a lot of materials that have already catalogized Returning to deep religious belief and the belief of his colleagues in him “A leader who offers clarity”.

Step 6: Death or Glory

Finally, you pull the trigger.

Of course, it may seem like high bets, but if there is something proven by Gillard’s survival in the initiatives in his office in 2012 and 2013, Abbott At the beginning of 2015 And Turnbull, you can finally try again a few days before the ax.