John Rentoul answers your questions on Labour’s future – from welfare U-turn to Corbyn comeback

KEir Starmer spent most of his first year trying to prepare the people for pain.

But finally Independent The question to me – the question of something that he explains, the government now feels heat – politically rotten, economically cornered and increasingly exposed: stability in exchange for tax increases.

Rachel Reeves summarized a labor rebellion and bond that pushed a U -turn on the welfare reform of the tear in Commons.

Reeves’ claim to have cleaned last year, the “slate ver was replaced, and according to the Institute of Financial Research, the bill may soon rise to £ 40 billion in new tax increases. He promised a clean break with the effort of squeezing austerity.

In this context, Starmer’s new 10 -year NHS plan seems to be less than a policy announcement than a political life line: the Labor Party is equivalent to healing in the early 1980s, which saved Margaret Thatcher. The launch of the plan was designed to answer the question of Reeves and Starmer’s still not solved – what is the prize of this pain?

Meanwhile, the discontent to the left of Labour is turning into a clear rebellion. Zarah Sultan, who was suspended for opposing the benefit limit with two children, left the party with a new political movement with Jeremy Corbyn. “Discussions continue, Cor Corbyn says, but the direction is clear. Labour’s internal tensions – on prosperity, war and public services – are no longer ideological. They are choice.

Below is the question of what the Sol’s separation movement and the upcoming autumn budget can now mean for a government struggling with a crisis of welfare reform and the leadership of Keir Starmer.

Q: Is there two workers’ parties now: Starmer’s leadership circle and the rest?

Critical

A: There has always been a tension between the party in the election zones and the party in Parliament. Sometimes the limits change; As in now, many workers’ deputies are compatible with party members about the problem of disability benefits. However, the most successful period in the history of the party was that a very small group around Tony Blair controlled the party and continued a support coalition between workers’ deputies and members. It is worth remembering that party members voted for David Miliband instead of his brother in 2010. Starmer could not establish such a large coalition at the party.

Q: If Rayner had been pm, he would have tried a different economic approach – and the markets would tolerate it?

Paul Kearney

A: If you want to change financial rules, I don’t believe Rayner will try a different economic approach. Rules are not arbitrary or stupid self -imposed restrictions designed to prevent a Labor Party government from doing good things. It is necessary to maintain the trust of markets. Rayner is a pragmatist and I think he instinctively understands it. The advantage is that it can better transmit the logic of the economic strategy than Keir Starmer or Rachel Reeves.

Q: Will Corbyn’s new party attract labor defectors?

Jase

A: I think one of the reasons why Jeremy Corbyn is reluctant to start a new party is that he understands the British election system better than most. Issington knows that he can win as an individual with a long name in North, but he knows that the parties to the left of labor are more or less indifferentiated. For the last time, unlike famous individuals, when a left -wing party won a seat in the House of Commons, it became a communist party in 1945 and both seats disappeared in 1950.

Since then, George Galloway won an individual seat, but the Labor Party did not.

Q: Is it the real leader of Angela Rayner Labour?

Sophieeeeeeee

A: He grasps politics better and is a better communicator than the Prime Minister. Seeing that it was necessary to avoid the risk of defeat, not only made the second surrender to the Workers’ Rebellions on the Bills of disability, but also made sure that the world knew that it was pushing for it.

While the government was going to vote as a way of weakening the Prime Minister, it was claimed that Keir Starmer pushed the bill to throw the PIP section. I doubt that this is true: I think it was right to postpone and fight for an further day that the vote was on the edge of the knife and that the government could not meet the risk of losing.

Q: Should Starmer be confusing his best team again – and should he go?

Bbenb

A: In my opinion, reorganizing the reorganization never works as a way to recover the popularity of the government, and it often has the effect of moving good ministers just as accelerating. I think Kendall was asked to do what was impossible, but for disability benefits, return to face -to -face assessments, had to be a ready -made plan in the opposition to combat the increase in mental health claims. However, if there is someone who can only do a better job, it should be changed.

Q: Was the welfare reform always applied?

Loser

A: He was convicted from the beginning and the head of the whip, Campbell, told Keir Starmer when he started in March. Liz Kendall was forced by Rachel Reeves, who had to find £ 5 billion per year at the end of the parliament to keep public finances on a sustainable basis. Kendall could not offer changes such as return to face -to -face evaluations instead of telephone/zoom talks, which should reduce the number of demands, but could not be considered as a savings by the office for budget responsibility, because no one was sure of them. Therefore, the interruptions of the amounts that can be requested and the demand restrictions to the unacceptable labor deputy to destroy the majority of the government.

Q: Why doesn’t the worker get rid of Starmer now?

Dave Smith

A: Party members want to get rid of it a year after surrendering the majority of the second largest parliament. At the end of May, a survival/labourlist survey stated that 42 percent of the members wanted a leading change before the election; It did not have 40 percent; He didn’t know the rest.

The most popular alternative among the party members, the Mayor of Manchester Andy Burnham, but the running out of the run was not a deputy. Currently, there is no election zone in the country that the Labor Party can be sure that it won in elections to take it back to parliament.

Thus, the members actually defend Angela Rayner’s taking over. This is not an ugly idea: one of the few people in the cabinet that increases their reputation in the first year (see below). But not very popular among the people. Does it really change Labour’s deyors significantly? Perhaps we should expect how many houses have been built by 2028.

Q: Should Morgan Mcsweeney go?

I’m Brown

A: In general, I agree with the Prime Minister: Mcsweeney, so the workers’ ministers won the elections to make pipes and do what they say. Furthermore, anyone who wants the Prime Minister’s advisor to go really calls for a PM change. I think it’s too early for that.

These questions and answers ‘Ask me something’ On Friday, July 4 at 14:00. Some questions and answers have been issued for this article. You can read the entire discussion. original article.

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