Josh Willie, Jeremy Rockliff, minority

One month after Tasmania’s July elections, the new political reality was finally announced this week.

Liberal Prime Minister Jeremy Rockliff, there was no other confidence on the first day of the new parliament. However, this is less approved and the rejection of the greens of the strange political games played by Dean Winter’s Labor Party. Now it has been changed in winter – everyone says “hello to Josh Willie – Rockliff left to manage the minority. He does not have enough support for trust and supply and is almost as big as his party.

It looks messy. But how bad, really?

According to Bill Browne, Director of Democracy and Accounting Program of the Australian Institute, this minority arrangement is often good.

“There is nothing in the Westminster system that a government says that it needs official trust and supply agreements with someone else.

Really rockliff there After the March 2024 elections, a confidence and supply agreement with the MPs of Jacqui Lambie Network led to any vote of confidence against him in June. No agreement, no matter how formal, is binding, which is the “kind of point of having the parliament to hold the ruler responsible.

“The government of the day should consider the protection of trust as something they actively do, Brow says Browne points to leaders who can manage efficiently without official supply commitments. Julia Gillard’s confidence and supply status for the 2010 minority government passed the EBBS and streams throughout the period. This did not prevent the rule of history from rule the most productive federal government.

In state politics, former Green leader Christine Milne is a Panel Event at Hobart In 1997, when the worker moved away from the fear of alienation of conservative rural voters, he introduced legislation to abolish Tasmania’s anti -homosexual laws. While the Greens kept the balance of power, the liberal Prime Minister Tony Rundle told Milne if he could convince the lower house to cross the bill, he would ask the upper home liberals to do the same. “Both liberal and labor were very pleased that my private member was invoiced because the greens took the crime for this. I am very happy to blame it for it!”

In the 2020 action, the truth in the laws of political advertising was brought to the agenda by Greens Crossbencher Caroline Le Couteur and was unanimously supported by the Labor Government and the liberal opposition – another example that Browne is the Legislative of the Crossbench.

If both sides have appetite, they can work with the powerful cross -counter in both the upper and upper houses, and in political advertising laws, a progressive policy such as real, to reform the Honesty Commission, to strengthen the rights to the laws of information. “If these policies are serious about maintaining him, Browne said, in the understanding of the Labor Party.

The worst scenario in Tasmania is not instability, but a government that refuses to cooperate, sending a logjam and potentially re -voters to the polls. The fear of public opinion, almost certainly began to make some promises to the greenery and progressive independents, Review of the salmon industry– Greyhound race gradually gradualand leaving a plan to open more Domestic Forest for Diary. Goodwill and all this.

Tango on politics requires two houses, and the understanding of the upper house of Tasmania is equally important. The 15 -person legislative council consists of three liberals, three of which are labor, one greenery and eight independent. Crossbench outweighs the combination of labor and liberal parties, which means that they cannot work together to pass even the legislation of the big parties (for example, like an AFL Stadium).

The independent Council member Meg WebB said that this government’s biggest priority should be a structural reform of Tazmania’s financial financial situation “beyond the annual budget cycle”.

“The Legislative Council is well positioned to continue to examine the executive, Bıç says Webb. With a powerful crossbench in both houses, he believes that this parliament represents the opportunity to seize good ideas wherever it comes from. However, it requires the actual opposition status and liberal government and labor to operate in good faith.

What will he prove to him that Rockliff is open to the opportunity? “[He] The Council should include MLCs, especially independent members, in the discussions and consultations he made as parliamentary deputies instead of taking the upper house as a tire stamp, ”he said.

Rockliff, a collaborative gesture for the upper house, appointed independently Tania Rattray as the leader of the government. While putting it “Stability Agreement” It is seen that the lower house Crossbencher, who touches on some elements that WebB wants to see, plans to work with the upper house this time.

There are rumors that the new workers’ leader Josh Willie can return to the greens to negotiate for their support – and I can’t get enough stress, just rumors – AgainTake three independent and “Play” minority government Rockliff’s from Libs. The idea is that Willie, from the left fraction of labor, will establish more good than the right in winter with the Greens and the progressive Indian islands. Labor cannot establish a government without greenery.

John Curtin made Robert Menzies in 1941, but Tasmanian politics is yet to II. He may claim that World War II did not reach crisis levels.

Brow If you see that this is so early in this new era, whether you see what the premiere of the governor will do, Browne says Browne. “But he wouldn’t have to be immediately – [it might only come] The Rockliff government has been given some time and the environmental, budget and honesty concerns of the crossing wings. “

This journey is not over yet.