Labor buys itself an extra year in opposition

The southern state of Australia suffered through the choice of a state that was not satisfied with the Peling Rain, Peling Rain, and a state choice that did not solve anything.

Tasmania’s election came only 15 months after the end and produced the same result too much: the liberals entered with 14 seats from 35 and the Labor Party with 10, and if the final result is different, it is not possible to be more than one in both directions.

The worker seems to be the largest loser, and brought the election to an insecure movement against the leading Jeremy Rockliff, who could only buy an extra year in the opposition.

For this purpose, the worker may admit that he can form a government yet: Four independent independent independents, which are in 10 or 11 labor, greens and coloring from green to sea blue, exist for an anti-liberal majority.

However, as the success of the insecure movement showed, it was true before this election. If it happens, what is changing is not the figures in the parliament, but that the Labor Party refuses to manage from the Greens.

Probably the hope of Labour, who warns the majority against the impossibility of the majority, is that the independent alone can lead them to magic.

However, the Labor Party’s relationship with the independents is the basis for the first time that the early elections are in the confusion of elections.

Even the politically separated motherlands may be aware of, as the problem of the shining point of the Tasmanian politics is an insistence in a public stadium as the price of a team of AFL’s national competition at home.

When the worker promised to reject the government’s surrender to the conditions of AFL last year’s elections, he was disappointed with the results: the liberal vote fell, but the dividend was given by the independent and the Jacqui Lambie network.

Shortly thereafter, Labor under the new leader Dean Winter abandoned the opposition in accordance with the Orthodox view that an opposition faced by a tired former government should only follow a small target strategy to ensure his way to the office.

However, this was similar to real opposition to the unpredictable impact of a cross -counter united against the stadium.

When a debt explosion in the May budget increased the ghost of privatization, the Winter party saw the opportunity to return the party to the game and exaggerated his hand in accordance with him.

The worker mobilized an insecure movement that was not successful with the expectation that the liberals would respond by presenting Jeremy Rockliff as a sacrifice lamb. approved Senator Jonathon Duniam, Tasmanian liberals Federal Retinue’s leading conservative.

If any loan occurs from the department, he should go to a liberal party room that holds his nervous and allows the voters of Rockliff to face a wrong party in a labor game that leads to the polls at the worst time of the year.

40% of the votes of the liberals may not be the things where election dreams are held on Saturday, but it is notly compared to 29% of the party. The last survey before the crisis emerged.

Labor, on the other hand, directed one quarter of the votes and effectively invalid, despite the vote of 6.7% of Jacqui Lambie Network, since last year, it has already fell more than 3% of its weak demonstration.

All of the independent independently selected independents were re -selected and the climate 200 -backed Peter George, and almost certainly two candidates from shooters, fishermen and farmers who have not been represented so far will participate.

The size and diversity of Crossbench means that everything that the government emerges will be fragile and undecided, which means that some will have the state’s hare-Clark proportional representation system as a claim.

Such criticisms have been placed incorrectly because there is a ready -made solution that will appear immediately for the observers of European politics.

The partnership between liberal and labor almost never ends with the stadium: the liberals who went to the election. Re -establish a state insurance companyLabor that wants the forestry industry “Green band”And two of them had an excellent agreement on the national controversial salmon agricultural operation at Macquarie Port.

Regarding health, education and anything else, the election policies of the parties could be easily changed without any independence without noticing the difference.

Beyond the self -interest strategic calculation and malignant cultural blindness, there is nothing to serve a full period with a common majority and to deliver every point point they take to voters.

Description: William Bowe conducted a paid consultancy for Climate 200, which supports the campaigns of sea blue independents.