Labour rebel claims Starmer risks defeat on welfare bill with ‘loads’ of MPs planning to vote against it – UK politics live | Politics
KEY EVENTS
Rachael Maskel’s smart change text, supported by the deputies of the uterus craftsmanship to kill the welfare invoice
Here is the full text Rachael MaskellThe reasoned change to kill UC and PIP invoice signed by 39 workers’ deputies (see 9.08 am).
While determining the need for the reform of the social security system and accepting the principles of protecting people who cannot work and protecting people of the government, the government refused to read a second reading on the universal loan and personal independent payment bill, because its provisions are not subject to an official consultation with disabled people or with themselves or with their caregivers; Because the Budget Responsibility Office does not stem from publishing the analysis of these reforms on the employment effect until the autumn of 2025; Because the majority of additional employment support financing will not be in force by the end of the decade; Because, while accepting protection for the existing plaintiffs, the government has not yet produced its own impact assessment on the influence of personal independence payment (PIP) and universal loan, work and activity, and as a result, it will deteriorate to mental or physical health, including children, or to allow the decision of illegal caregivers; Because the government has not published an assessment of the impact of these reforms on health or care needs; The government is still waiting for the Minister of Social Security and Disabled to the PIP assessment of the PIP assessment and Sir Charlie Mayfield’s findings on the role of the employer and the government in increasing the employment of people and people with long -term health conditions.
The liberals democrats, SNP, greens and independent alliances have made their own reasonable changes against the bill. These In order paper.
Rebel, Starmer Risks Welfare Invoice, defeat to kill 39 Labor Party Deputy, while registering with ‘more’ with more ‘registering,
Good morning. When Keir Starmer voted on the universal credit (UC) and Personal Independence Payment (PIP) invoice this evening, the MPs faced the most challenging Commons struggle that all commentators will make a great rebellion. It is expected to win – but at this point, Westminster Commentariat is not 100% confident; It looks very tight.
Governments almost never lose their votes, and there are good reasons for this. The first is that they normally have the majority. (Starmer’s majority is 165.) However, the main reason is that if the person who has the best intelligence on how the vote will go, the state chief Whip (Alan Campbell in this administration) and that they have the number of head whip, the ministers will offer last -minute privileges. Starmer has already offered concessions worth £ 3.3 billion on this bill, but we have the chance to get more during the discussion – perhaps next year, the new PIP rules proposed by Stephen Timms Review will begin to apply.
So Starmer should win. But he hasn’t won yet, and there’s new evidence that he’il be very close this morning.
Meg Hillier, the Head of the Treasury Committee, withdrew the reasoned change to kill the bill signed by more than 120 workers’ deputies. But overnight Rachael Maskell He did something else, very similar Smart change This would have the same effect. 39 workers’ deputies were signed by deputies – not enough to overthrow the majority of Starmer on their own – but in an interview at BBC Breakfast this morning, “more burden” labor force deputies support him. When 39 workers were given to him that the deputy was not enough, he answered:
There is more burden, more burden… I have dealt with too many people yesterday, ‘I do not sign a reasoned change, but I vote for the bill.’
There is no guarantee that Maskell’s reasoned change will be called. If the conservative party had laid one on the table, it would normally take a precedent, but they didn’t. The speaker Lindsay Hoyle can decide to call any of the reasoned changes and only decide to go to a yes/no vote on the invoice. However, this would not make much difference, because all workers’ deputies who would vote for the change of Maskel would vote for the bill.
This morning Sam CoatesSky News Deputy Political Editor, Policy at Sam and Anne’s Podcast He told him that one of the rebels expected him to vote against the bill with 30/40 abstaining. Coates, 68 votes and 30 abstaining Starmer’ın will bring together the majority, he said. This wasn’t the expected result, Coates Coates said, because things can change throughout the day.
And their London playbook briefing For Politico, Sam Blewett And Bethany Dawson Report this stock market with a working authority.
Cool heads do not reign: A worker official sent a message to Bloom last night: “The heat clearly reached PLP – trying to blame people who choose themselves for choosing blood everywhere.”
Here is a night story Jessica Elgot And Pippa Crerar.
Here is the agenda of the day.
09.30: Keir Starmer Chairs Cabinet.
11.30: Chancellor Rachel Reeves receives questions at Commons.
Afternoon: The Downing Street has a lobby briefing.
After 12.30: Liz Kendall, Secretary of Labor and Pension, opens the debate on UC and Pip Bill.
19:00: Vote on the invoice.
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