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Australia

LATIKA BOURKE: Pentagon’s MAGA-style push on AUKUS and defence spending may backfire in Indo-Pacific

Elbridge Colby, who examined Aukus in the Pentagon, thinks that Maga can reproduce Europe in Europe and Indo-Pacific to reproduce Europe, girls and bullying.

However, the cutting and bonding approach can only fail, but also backfire.

This is because the hectoring approach does not calibrate for important ways that Europe is different from Asia.

Mr. Colby’s demands for the Indo-Pacific allies increase defense expenditures are legitimate in the Australian case.

But far from the first person to bring the problem to the agenda.

Before appointing US President Donald Trump, in accordance with the Defense Minister, Australian defense strategic examinations were calling Australian writers Peter Dean and the former chef of the Australian Defense Forces, Angus Houston, an increase from about 2 percent to 3 percent of GDP. Former working leader, Defense Minister and US Ambassador Kim Beazley came before the two.

And the same objection by the former interior boss Mike Parzullo, who wrote the 2009 Defense White Book for the Rudd government, came to power for the last time.

Prime Minister Anthony should increase Albanian defense expenditures and said that the defense examination he assigned to him is the need for Australia.

If the region becomes even more dangerous, it will not be remembered for landslide with 94 -seat, but as the Prime Minister of the Working Prime Minister who ignores every siren call and abandoned the country, is negligent and dangerous.

Although the United States does not have to be typed by the United States to do so, it is foolish that Maga is as difficult and public as the problem is that it is as difficult and public as it is, and it does not leave the Australian voices to the sounds of Australia.

In a social media mission on Tuesday, Mr. Colby said: “Europe’s progress in the last few months shows the wisdom of President Trump’s approach.”

“We are actively implementing the successful approach to ensure that our allies in the world increase their common defense efforts.”

At the beginning of this week, calling for allies to increase defense expenditures, President Trump’s strategy in Asia, as in Europe, was “distinctive feature” in Asia.

“Of course, some of our allies may not meet open conversations,” he said.

“But now after the historic The Hague Summit, many of NATO led, see and do so.

“President Trump has shown the approach and formula – and we will not be deterred from advancing the agenda.”

However, there are good reasons for Maga’s pause, rethinking and re -calibration.

When the member states agreed to raise their expenditures to 3.5 percent in the next decade, their methods may have worked in NATO, but this is not a guarantee of Australia’s success in the forest’s neck.

First, the Indo-Pacific war is not in war. Europe. It is an expression of unprepared capture to deal with a nuclear armed imperialist on your border that rolled tanks within the borders of an innocent country.

As NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said, it is true that US President Donald Trump’s methods, including threatening the concept of defense alliance, are determined to change European minds on the need to begin to put his shoulder on the wheel.

But that’s the point. To take Europe to the edge of the cliff and forcing them to think of a world without NATO and Article 5 without the US security blanket work and to think of a world.

ARTICLE 5 is the article indicating that an attack on any member state will be accepted as an attack on everyone. It is this article that allows Europe to be free from the United States under more charitable presidents. Therefore, while waiting for the US and MAGA to pay Europe’s security bills, their complaints about great spending for social welfare are very legitimate.

As Vladimir Putin showed, there was a threatening bear on the European border, and remained in a position where he could not suppress the monster on his own.

However, these dynamics are not available for Australia and wider Indo-Pacific.

While China is accepted to seek the dominance of the region and the control of transportation roads, the war is neither available nor inevitable.

Chinese President Xi Jinping has many ways to suppress the army to be ready to take Taiwan until 2027, and if necessary, without invading the democratic island.

At one end, this may contain a blockade that can be seen or not seen as a war action by the United States. Another worrying tactic may make it more difficult to describe whether China’s declaration of Taiwan’s “quarantine ve and whether it is an internal issue, and whether it creates a war action.

Therefore, it is a vital opportunity to wait for countries such as Australia to wait for them to wait for them to wait for them to wait for them to declare that they would participate in a hypothetical war with submarines that we could not have in the early 2030s in 2025, and to talk about how China is already compelling and withdrawing their behavior towards Taiwan.

The other and perhaps the most powerful element is the Maga, the Indo-Pacific.

Australia has an option to respond to the ongoing power competition between the US and China.

And so far, Maga’s methods have moved Anthony Albanian only in the direction of China – somehow.

The Australians do not like Donald Trump on a Basis, but they still believe in the alliance and return. However, it would be dangerous to assume that these attitudes have been corrected.

The population of Australia is becoming more and more immigrant based, because Albania has objected to Indian and Chinese voters in the last election and underlined during the first period. It should not be assumed that this voting block will always have a permanent loyalty and love to the USA.

And Maga’s behavior can easily provoke questions about whether Australia will return according to the US alliance.

All this is very likely that Australia will participate in the US to fight China in a predictable future. Our common intelligence facility in the USA and Pine GAP and the bases of the US on the Australian territory will make us a target in any case and guarantee our participation.

There is a fundamental inconsistency that Mr. Colby would fight on Taiwan, including whether the Allies, including Australia, to fight on Taiwan, wisely – wisely – and fight on Taiwan.

But perhaps the biggest question is that if the methods of Maga continue to make their Indo-Pacific allies in a self and sacred manner, what values and order would we fight for?

As the former US navy secretary Richard Spencer, who fought these scenarios, said recently, such a war is “not nice for both sides”, that is. This would result in the death of thousands of life.

The solution of the United States and its allies should be to avoid it.

But if Xi, such as the authoritarian collaborator Mr. Putin, would make such a mistake, the Australians would naturally ask, what would we fight for?

And here the maga approach can recoil.

Because the Trump administration seems to focus on supporting American domination rather than a global order that protects its smaller friends.

How else does South Korea and Japan read the symbolism of the first tariff ineffective letters to the Indo-Pacific Allies?

Australian steel and export tariffs are now a 200 percent task threat on drugs.

This is despite Australia and the US making a free trade agreement.

Australia is not foreign to economic coercion. When Beijing effectively killed Australian wine, lobster and barley imports overnight, the Coalition suffered the wrath of the Chinese Communist Party because he wanted an investigation to Covid.

However, there are very difficult pills from an ally from the ally, which also injected uncertainty to the AUKUS agreement because of the “friend önten that manages them.

If a bullying, authoritarian China and free, but selfish, the “first” Mercurial faced with the United States, the Australians would still prefer the second.

Our common intelligence facility with the US and Pine GAP and the US military presence in the Australian territory would probably make us a target and forced our participation in any case.

However, Mr. Colby and Maga friends should realize that there are a series of tactics that can make success engineering, and a Bully size model that fits one body can ultimately be nihilistic.

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