Outcome of Israel’s war with Iran is uncertain even if US joins conflict | Israel

Experts, Israel’s attack on Iran, including the nuclear and ballistic weapon program, Benjamin Netanyahu’nun Trump administration in the coming days and weeks to participate in the conflict, even if it is unlikely to secure long -term strategic goals, he said.

According to diplomats, according to military experts and security analysts, Israel – and the prime minister – will face winds in the campaign with warnings that it is at risk of destabilizing the region dangerously.

There is skepticism about whether the US’s use of large ground penetration bombs can overthrow the Fordow nuclear facility, which is buried under a mountain, and questions about the ability to maintain a long -term attack against Israel’s cities against ballistic missiles.

Experts reveal the distinction between Israel’s operational success in targeting key Iranian areas and individuals and the strategic goals that seem to have expanded on the destruction of the nuclear program in Tehran.

“There is a dominant tendency in Israel, who proposes to politicians a solution to what political problems are in Israel, Toby Dodge, Professor of International Relations at the London School of Economics, said.

“My feeling of intestine is that the Iranian regime is more stable than the recommended. Since Iran has a long commitment to technological modernization and proliferation, this is something you cannot handle with a bomb.”

Analysts are also confused by an Israeli strategy, which is seen to have gambled to trigger a conflict in the hope of pushing a highly irregular US President in Donald Trump, providing the firepower in which Israel is missing in terms of large shelter bombs.

Experts assess that the US should probably use a few of these bombs that should be protected up to 90 meters in a complex and risky operation, which is probably protected to the motherland up to 90 meters up to 90 meters.

Daniel C Kurtzer, former US Ambassador to Israel and Steven N Simon, the National Security Council, wrote in Foreign Affairs this week.

“Iran would almost definitely make retaliation by killing American civilians. This would force the US to respond.

“The only goal for Washington to hit was the leaders of the Iranian regime, and the US would go back to the regime change-this is a job that a small number of Americans wanted to be involved.”

Perhaps the probability of change of regime by killing Iran’s largest leader Ayatullah Ali Khanei by Israeli officials (and vetoed by Trump) gives a deep alarm in the region.

The high-level Iraqi cleric Great Ayatullah Ali Al-Isistani made a rare intervention in the region about deep dangers.

Another skeptic is King’s Defense Research in King’s College London, Associate Defense Research in King’s College London, who works extensively in the Middle East and suspects the effect of Israel by Israel in order to destroy Israel’s nuclear information alone or remove the office regime.

“We learned the lesson that the air force did not work alone. And then we learned that many boats on the ground did not work in Iraq and Afghanistan.”

“What we see is not a strategic approach, but an operational approach using air force, and the operational approach is to start consuming the strategic one about the last political game.

“The best thing Israel hopes best is like a campaign against Hezbollah, which probably achieved a short -lived success, because it was very successful in humiliation of Hezbollah’s network.

“Iran is very similar because the defense strategy is built around a decentralized mosaic. Decapitation does not work against such a network. You can remove key nodes, but best [Israel] Hope to kill Khanenei will be to trigger the consequence crisis in any case. “

And if Netanyahu is calculated incorrectly, it is in an area where he has long been expected: reading and playing US politics.

With the problem that threatens to support the American intervention survey and divide Trump’s maga movement, Israel may find itself on the wrong side of a toxic argument with more protrusions than helping Netanyahu for Trump.

The failure of an intervention to support the Israeli campaign of Israel is likely to encounter increasing difficulties among indicators that Israel has decreased in some missile measures.

Long -range Sorties, aircraft maintenance cycles and crew fatigue for the depletion of the prepared target lists are likely to be militant against Israel’s ability to maintain a long -term conflict at the current high -intensity level.

Any quitting will be used by Tehran to suggest that the storm worn out the worst of the storm.

There is a third possibility. Following the NATO Air campaign in Kosovo in 1999, Wesley Clark, the former allied commander of the organization, which was seen as one of the more successful uses of air force in his book Modern War, described the campaign as a goal to force the Serbs to the negotiation table.

He claimed that Trump himself had more time for diplomacy to run, including negotiations with European countries in Geneva on Friday.

Even if Iran is forced to a nuclear agreement, Israel may see that it has come with heavy hidden costs, at least the survival potential of an office regime, which has every reason to be more hostile to Israel and Israelis, and the limitations of Israeli military power.

“If Khanenei has a sense of step back, if America does not go in, Dod Dodge says,“ Then the Israeli finger glued his finger to a Hornets’s nest. ”