Google DOJ Chrome decision has analysts valuing its top businesses

On Thursday, February 13, 2025, Sundar Pichai, CEO of Alphabet Inc. during his visit to Google during his visit to Google in Warsaw, Poland. The EU, Apple and Google have gained a global reputation for aggressive arrangement of major technology companies on antitröst concerns. Photographer: Damian Lemanski/Bloomberg through Getty Images
Damian Lemanski | Bloomberg | Getty Images
On Tuesday, on Tuesday, Google’s Purchasing Chrome browser for $ 34.5 billion represents a dramatic moment for the internet search giant a week before the public offering celebrates the 20th anniversary of the public offering.
Even if the analysts do not take the offer very seriously, the astonishment movement points to a turning point. He made such a public and special effort to draw an important part of Google for the first time, which is waiting for a judge’s decision to take a significant handle steps following the decision of a judge last year in the basic search market last year.
More than twenty years ago against Microsoft, the decision has been seen as the most important antitröst decision in the technology industry since the case. The US Department of Justice, which filed a turning point against Google in 2020, said that after its victory in court, Google saw a possible distribution as an antitröst solution.
Shortly after that, Doj clearly called on Chrome to dispose of a more equal playground for its opponents. As it is, Google searches for packages and other services in Chrome and creates the browser in Chromebooks in advance. Google Law Chief Kent Walker in question In response to Doj, “the approach of the approach will lead to extreme access to unprecedented government” and will damage the country’s efforts to protect economic and technology leadership.
There is a lot to consider about the expected solution decisions this month and the future value of the Google and Parental alphabet of investors. While the company is bombing tens of billions of dollars annually in artificial intelligence infrastructure and AI services, consumers face a much less time to spend time on traditional search because alternatives to Chatgpt and other AI provide new ways to access information.
However, while the Alphabe is still relying on search -related ads for the majority of its income, the company has diverse in the last decade. October will be seen as Google’s main subsidiary 10 years after the formation of the alphabet as a holding company.
“This new structure will allow us to focus on the extraordinary opportunities we have on Google.” He said. Blog post In that case.
Page moved from Google’s CEO to become the general manager of the alphabet and directed Sundar Pichai, the senior vice president responsible for internet businesses. Four years later, Pichai changed Page to Alphabet CEO.
In Pichai’s Watch, Alphabet’s market value increased by more than 150% to $ 2.5 trillion. In an increasingly dominant position on the Internet, Pichai and the team had to defend an aggressive regulator in the United States and Europe, while continuing to look for growth areas, especially in AI.
Analysts had the opportunity to place estimated values in various businesses of the alphabet if the company has always been forced to harsh measures. Some even claimed that it might be a good thing for shareholders.
“We believe that the only way for the alphabet is a complete separation to allow investors to have the business they want,” the analysts in Davidson wrote in a series of notes this year.
The alphabet did not respond to the request for comments.
Here is a breakdown of how some analysts value the alphabet out -of -research assets:
Chromium
The browser is the key to Alphabet’s advertising business that uses data from Chrome to help targeted ads. Google initially launching In 2008, Chrome is an effort to “add value for users and also help to increase innovation on the web”.
The proposal of astonishment does not rise to analyst forecasts, but still more than surprise is much higher than its own valuation. 18 billion dollars In July. The astonishment known for its search engine, which works with AI, which gives the best users simple answers to questions, said that investors are on board to set foot on the bill. However, the company did not name possible supporters.
Barclays analysts called the chrome’s possibility of disposal of “black swan” risk, and warned about a 15% to 25% decrease in the stock of the alphabet in case of occurrence. They estimate that Chrome uses about 35% of Google’s search revenue.
An agreement for Chrome is on the table, Raymond James analysts value 2.25 billion users and Google’s value of $ 50 billion based on the income share agreements with Google’s pre -installed phone manufacturers on devices.
This values Chrome of Gabriel Weinberg, CEO of the opponent search company Duckduckgo. Weinberg, who testified in the antitröst attempt, He said it in April If a spinout is necessary, this chrome can be sold up to $ 50 billion. Weinberg said that the estimation was based on the “Behind the Envelope” mathematics by looking at Chrome’s user base.
Bob O’donnell from Sunday research firm Technalysis Research, stimulant This chromium “cannot make money directly”, because it serves as a gateway and “is not clear how you measure it from a pure income -generating perspective”.
Google Cloud
A person takes a picture of the Google Cloud logo during the 2025 Mobile World Congress (MWC) in Barcelona, Spain, 4 March 2025.
Albert Gea | Reuters
Google’s cloud unit is the third in the cloud infrastructure market Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure is one of the key growth engines of the alphabet and one of the biggest work other than digital ads.
Google has officially launched what is called Google Cloud Platform (GCP) in 2011, but it began to be released about ten years ago. In 2016, the unit was re -branded only as Google Cloud.
Google Cloud, such as AWS and Azure, generates revenue from enterprises ranging from initiatives to large enterprises that run workloads on the company’s servers. In addition, customers pay for products such as Google Workspace, the company’s productivity applications and cooperation tools.
In 2020, Google began to eliminate cloud business in financial statements starting from income. In the fourth quarter of 2020, when Google added snow metrics for the first time for the unit, he recorded a loss of $ 1.24 billion.
The business became profitable in 2023 and now producing healthy margins. In the second quarter of 2025, Google reported an activity profit of $ 2.8 billion with a revenue of 13.6 billion dollars for the cloud business. CFO Anat Ashkenazi said that the company’s cloud services are now a accumulated work, with a measure of future committed income, $ 106 billion.
In March, Google agreed to purchase the company’s biggest agreement so far, the Cloud Security seller Wiz, for $ 32 billion.
Analysts in Wedbush Securities value Google’s cloud for $ 602 billion, while TD Cowen puts the number in May as about $ 549 billion. Valuation for Raymond James is $ 579 billion.
Davidson analysts and TD Cowen analysts with the highest valuation of 682 billion dollars, google still watching AWS and Azure, Amazon has grown faster than the cloud business and has the potential to evaluate premium. This is based on AI infrastructure, a stack of powerful data analysis and the ability to capture more corporate business.
Da Davidson wrote analysts in July.
Youtube
On March 8, 2025, youtube is presented by Austin Austin, Austin Austin in the Hotel in Texas.
Mat Hayward | Diversity | Getty Images
Google’s acquisition of $ 1.65 billion in 2006 in 2006 is generally seen as one of the best purchases by an internet company. Facebook An agreement of $ 1 billion for Instagram in 2012.
Youtube is the largest video site on the web and is a large part of Google’s advertising business. In the second quarter, Youtube ad revenue increased by 13% of Google’s total advertising sales increased by 13% to $ 9.8 billion.
Valuation forecasts change tremendously.
Moffettnathanson, called the “new king of all the media”, values Youtube between $ 475 billion and 550 billion dollars, arguing that it is larger and stronger than all other players in Hollywood. At the top end of this range, youtube will be about 22% of the entire alphabet.
Youtube has passed soon NetflixIt has a market value of $ 515 billion as the best flow platform in terms of audience participation.
TD Cowen analysts attribute a much lower valuation of $ 271 billion. The company says that it is one of the six Google products with more than 2 billion users per month with Search, Google Maps, Gmail, Android and Chrome. Raymond James says Youtube is worth $ 306 billion.
Youtube for 2024 was the second largest media company with only 54.2 billion dollars of income, Disney. Platform earns revenue from advertising and subscriptions.
TD Cowen analysts said that in May they expect advertising revenue to climb about 14% this year and expect the unit to maintain a double -digit growth rate. There is also a fast -growing subscription side with Youtube TV, music and NFL market ticket.
Waymo

Alphabet’s self -going automobile company Waymo is the highest profile success outside Google.
Waymo is currently running the largest commercial autonomous driving greeting fleet in the USA and has entered more than 1,500 cars and more than 100 million miles. Rivals Tesla And Amazon Zoox is still in the test phase in limited markets.
When Alphabe was founded as Google’s parent company, he created the “other bets” category to include the businesses he liked to call “Moonshots”, a term “MOONSHOTS”, which entered Google Lexicon.
“We will not complain only by relying on small fine adjustments while exceeding years.” written inside 2014 Annual ReportDescribes Moonshot projects.
In 2016, Waymo returned from Google to participate in other bets that lost billions of dollars a year in general. In the second quarter, the alphabet recorded a loss of 1.2 billion dollars with 373 million dollars of income.
Waymo’s value was 45 billion dollars in the latest financing tour in November. Apart from the transaction, investors are except Andrereessen Horowitz, Tiger Global, Silver Lake, Fidelity and T. Rowe Price.
Some analysts now see a unit of value for many floors. Davidson analysts the analysts at the beginning of this month, an estimated $ 200 billion or more. Oppenheimer gave a basic lawsuit valuation of $ 300 billion on the assumption that it produced $ 102 billion in corrected earnings by 2040.
Raymond James value Waymo for $ 150 billion, and predicts that driving a week will reach 1.4 million in 2027 and climb to 5.8 million by 2030.
Waymo says that he has carried out more than 250,000 paid weekly trips in his commercial markets, including Atlanta, Austin, Los Angeles, Phoenix and San Francisco. The company said Philadelphia, Dallas and other places.
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