Unusually cold winter ahead for NCR? Delhi, Gurgaon, Noida, Ghaziabad, Faridabad & more regions on alert; Here’s what experts predict

Support yourself, this winter may feel different. The best weather experts warn that La Niña, a known climatic phenomenon that is known to reshape the weather conditions around the world, can make a return later this year and bring to India a usual season.

What is la niña?

La niña is the cooler phase of al niño -southern release (ENSO). The sea surface in the Ecuador Pacific Ocean occurs when the temperatures fall below normal. Although this may seem distant, fluctuation effects are felt worldwide, from changing the rainfall in America to influencing cold waves in Asia. For India, La Niña winters often mean more frost in the north, harder cold waves and extra snow.

Guess so far

On September 11, the US Climate Forecast Center released La Niña Watch, saying that the chances of La Niña was 71% between October and December 2025. The odds fell slightly to 54% between December 2025 and February 2026, but the warning remained.
When he returned home, he implied the possibility of the Indian Meteorology Department (IMD). Currently, conditions are neutral, neither al -Niño nor la niña, but show that IMD’s models La Niña can put it in Monsoon.

A high -level IMD official said: “Our models show the possibility of development of La Niña in October -December this year (over 50%). La Niña is generally related to more cold winters in India. While climate change can balance it to some extent, the winters tend to be colder during the years.”

Interestingly, he added that 2025 may not fall as one of the hottest years in general because the heavy monsoon rainfall has cooled down a little bit.

Special estimators are cautious, but warning

GP Sharma, the president of the special estimated Skymet Weather, does not exclude a short -lived La Niña. Although the Pacific Ocean’s La Niña has not yet passed the threshold, he explained that he was more cool than usual. “If the sea surface temperatures fall below -0.5 ° C the anomalies and stay in this way for at least three overlapping quarters, we officially declare La Niña,” he said. “At the end of 2024, we saw something similar when La Niña emerged briefly before returning to the neutral between November and January.”

Sharma added that the cooling trend can still affect global air without meeting solid definitions. For India, this is probably sharper in the North and Himalayan generation, which means sharper cold spells and more profit.

Science supports the cold factor

In 2024 by the Institute of Science Education and Research (IISER), Mohali found strong connections between severe cold waves in La Niña and North India, along with the Brazilian National Institute of Space Research.

During La Niña, researchers said that a cyclonic anomaly at lower levels attracted icy winds from higher latitudes to India and increased both the frequency and duration of cold wave events. With simple terms: La niña punches a winter.

Entrances from TOI