Which parties could benefit from lower voting age?

The government set plans to reduce the vote age to 16 through the next general election.

Ministers argue that the movement will increase the participation of democracy and promise young people in their future.

However, critics claim that young people can benefit from labor because they are more likely to vote for left -wing parties.

The government rejected the idea that this was the motivation behind change, and Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner said it was about strengthening democracy instead of “trying to vote for a particular party”.

Although real surveys suggest that the Labor Party is the most popular party among the young age groups, it is not simple how it can turn into a real choice.

Yougov’s latest voting intention survey Labor is ahead of 28%between 18 and 24 years of age, followed by greens over 26%and liberal democrats at 20%.

In contrast, conservatives reformed at 9% and 8% in the UK.

Some interviewers say that although there is no reason to think that those who are 16 and 17 years old will be separated from the model of young people who are leaning on the left, there is not enough polling to safely tell how this age group will vote.

Anthony Wells, President of the European Political and Social Research in Yougov, points out that if the labor force is not popular in the next election, we do not yet know whether voting tendencies can change – which will be four years away.

Meanwhile, politics is broken and Labour’s vote is at the risk of being carved by smaller parties.

Although the reform opposes the reducing age of the British voting, and in the last year’s general elections, he reaches an increasing number of young people on social media, although he did better among former voters.

Leader Nigel Farage has a great existence in Tiktok, which has more than a million followers.

It is not clear whether this will turn into votes, but although the party performs badly with young men, it is reasonable well understood among young men.

Left, A new party led by Jeremy CorbynAs a labor force leader, he can vote from new infranchized young people with green and liberal democrats who energize young people during election campaigns.

In several countries where the age of voting has already been reduced to 16, research shows that there is no effect on the general result.

In the UK, those who are 16 and 17 years old are only 2.8% of the population of 16 years and older, so researchers say that the impact on the party vote may be negligible.

Participating in the elections also tends to be lower for young age groups, and for those who are 16 and 17, they become valid, a smaller part of voters.

British Political Research Group Director Luke Tryl, this age group will not expect to have a “great effect”, he said.

However, he adds: “Then we are in a period in which the small shares of the vote can provide many seats in multi -party politics.”

It would be more likely to be felt in the individual election zones where the biggest effect is a small majority of the deputy and that a few hundred or thousand – additional voters in the election roller can make a difference.