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Which taxes could rise in the Budget instead of income tax rates?

Reuters Chancellor Rachel Reeves stands in Downing Street with the ministerial red box containing her first Budget speech in October 2024. Reuters

Chancellor Rachel Reeves decided not to increase income tax rates when she announced her Budget on 26 November.

Expectations that he will do so have increased in recent weeks. In a speech in early November he said the economy would make the “necessary choices” to reduce NHS waiting lists, the national debt and the cost of living.

But the chancellor may decide to raise money by freezing pay levels at which income tax rates are introduced. Other taxes may also be increased.

Labor had promised not to increase income tax, National Insurance or VAT on employees ahead of the 2024 general election.

What tax, NI and benefit changes might be in the budget?

If the Chancellor decides not to increase income tax rates, he will have to explore other ways of raising money.

This is being done to meet self-imposed rules on debt and borrowing, filling a gap of around £20bn in the public finances.

Reports suggest the government is looking at a range of options.

Income Tax and National Insurance (NI)

Speculation continues that the government may extend the freeze on income tax and NI thresholds, which will expire in 2028, or even reduce some thresholds.

Freezing the thresholds means that over time, as wages rise, more people will start paying tax and NI or reach an income level where they will qualify for higher tax rates.

Speaking to the BBC in September, Reeves did not rule out the possibility of extending the freeze.

The chancellor also signaled he could focus on wealthy individuals, arguing that “those with the broadest shoulders should pay their fair share”.

There were reports that he could. Changing the rules regarding limited partnerships (LLPs)It is sometimes used by high-income professionals. But, The Times reported He said the chancellor had now canceled all plans for it.

Pension

According to the TimesThe Chancellor plans to raise around £2bn by capping tax relief on pension contributions.

The newspaper says Reeves is expected to cap the amount workers can put into their pensions under “salary sacrifice” schemes without paying National Insurance to £2,000. There are currently no limits.

This means that any amount above the cap will be subject to NI payments by both employees and employers.

property taxes

Reports show that Government may reform property taxes. This could replace the stamp duty that buyers in England and Northern Ireland pay on properties above a certain value with property tax.

Homeowners may have to pay more tax and council tax may be changed.

Some people selling their main residence may have to pay capital gains tax (CGT).

Electric vehicles tax

chancellor A new tax on electric vehicles is being considered (EVs).

It could help offset the drop in fuel tax as more drivers move away from petrol and diesel vehicles.

jesus reformation

Chancellor in July He ruled out any immediate reforms to cashing out Isa (Individual Savings Accounts).

But, The FT has since reported It said it could reduce the cash Isa limit from £20,000 to £10,000.

business taxes

The TUC, the umbrella group of UK unions, called higher taxes on banks and online gaming companies.

In September the chancellor told ITV News: “There is a case that gambling companies are paying more.”.

small parcels

F.T. reported that the government could close a tax loophole that UK firms claim gives an unfair advantage to foreign online retailers such as Shein.

Right now, overseas retailers can send parcels worth less than £135 to the UK without paying import duty.

What other measures could be in the budget?

Welfare

The government is under pressure from its own MPs to lift the two-child limit in order to increase benefits. Currently, households receiving universal credit receive extra support for the first two children, but no additional support for subsequent children.

The Chancellor suggested restrictions on larger families would be lifted. I’m telling the BBC It was not right for children from large families to be “punished” in this way.

Help with energy bills

In October, Reeves told the BBC: would take “targeted action to tackle cost of living challenges” While inflation remains high.

The BBC understands the government could reduce gas and electricity bills by reducing the current 5% VAT rate on energy or by reducing some regulatory costs that suppliers can pass on to customers.

Youth employment guarantee

Also in September, Reeves said that young people who have been unemployed for 18 months Paid placements will be given to help them achieve full-time employment.

Why is the Chancellor expected to impose taxes?

The chancellor needs more money to meet self-imposed rules for government finances, which he says are “non-negotiable”. The two main rules are:

  • Not borrowing to finance daily public expenditure by the end of this parliament
  • To ensure that the share of state debt in national income decreases by the end of this parliament

Inside An unusual “pre-Budget” speech on November 4, The Chancellor said his commitment to those rules was “iron clad”.

He said he would do what is necessary to fix the economy, not what is popular, and he again refused to rule out tax increases.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) think tank previously said Reeves would “almost certainly” have to raise taxes to compensate. There is a shortfall in the government’s finances.

He argued this would allow the government to retain a £10bn buffer to meet the rules. but warned there was a “strong case” for increasing the margin of safety.

According to information obtained by the BBC, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the government’s official forecaster, assessed the deficit in the public finances to be close to £20 billion.

This is lower than the previous assessment of around £30bn. decreased productivity, It is a measure of how efficiently businesses operate.

What happens during the budget and what time is it?

The Chancellor’s Budget statement outlines the government’s plans to increase or reduce taxes. It also includes major decisions about spending on public services such as health, schools and police.

The statement was made to MPs in the House of Commons. It usually starts at 12.30pm after Prime Minister’s Questions and lasts about an hour.

Opposition Leader Conservative MP Kemi Badenoch will respond immediately.

How is the UK economy doing?

What will happen after the budget speech?

MPs will debate the measures for four days before voting.

If approved, any tax changes to be made in the Budget will come into effect immediately. However, for these to become permanent, the government must pass a financial bill.

More details about budget measures and their cost are published by the Treasury, the government’s economy and finance ministry.

The OBR will publish its assessment of the government’s plans alongside its latest forecasts.

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