Who is the new front runner in the California governor’s race?

For months, the candidates in the race to be the next governor of California have waited for a very important problem to be solved: Will the former vice president Kamala Harris run?

A new question emerged in Harris’s statement this week: Who is now the front runner?

Because of Harris’s star power, the answer is far from simple. Other candidates have cut off the possibility of planning for months and donations for months, that is, after the announcement of Harris on Wednesday, the race received a great reset.

Some political observers shake their heads to former US representative Katie Porter, who has seen a small leg on its rivals.

Porter was the only democrat who received double -digit support in multiple surveys when Harris was not included in the field.

Porter, who was a great donor in the Congress, representing a Orange County region, reported a strong cash infusion after starting his campaign in March and said he collected $ 250,000 36 hours after Harris’s statement.

“The enthusiasm that we see from donors at every level shows how Californials know how critical this race is,” Porter said.

Under the direction of Biden, the US Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Being and other candidates, including a former California Chief Public Prosecutor, tried to claim that they had advanced with Harris.

“In the ‘wide open’ race to produce a campaign campaign, he read the subject line of an e-mail sent by the Beachra Campaign on Friday and said,“ Health and houses are well positioned to bring together the plans to make it less expensive and more accessible ”.

The lawyer and former United States Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Being speaks at the Labor Party at the California Democratic Party Congress at the Congress Center in May.

(Allen J. Schaben/Los Angeles Times)

However, external observers said that none of the candidates are really out of the package.

Old Gov. Garry South, a senior democratic strategist working in the past Guernatorial campaigns, including Gray Davis, said, “This is expected, but ridiculous that the remaining candidates could pride who could be a pre-runner.

“When Harris chose, there will be no open front runner between the rest of the existing area,” South said. “None of these candidates start with names -wide names recognition.”

Experts, such a wide open area, approval and communication strategies such as factors will be important to follow, he said. Candidates will also have the ability to collect money and use to expand their attractiveness.

“I would start to spend money on every platform I could find in social media, television commercials, to create my name, Sou South said,“ None of them have enough money to do this right now. ”

Experience and confirmation

When Harris is out, will he support someone else?

John Pitney, a political professor at Claremont McKenna College, said, if he frankly approved, it would be a big plus, ”he said.

Harris has long relationships with a few candidates in the race. A source familiar with his thought, Harris said that after bending, Times could still approach the governor’s race.

Other approvals may also affect the race. Hours after explaining Harris’s decision, Nancy Pelosi (D-San Francisco), the representative of the former Parliament Speaker of the Assembly, Lieutenant Gov, whom he has known for years in CNN Eleni appeared to support the Kounalakis.

“We have many major candidates, one of which I support, especially Eleni Tsakopoulos, Pel Pelosi said, referring to Kounalakis with his hymen surname.

Eleni Kounalakis Governor of California Lieutenant, in May, speaks at the women’s meeting at the California Democratic Party Congress at the Congress Center.

(Allen J. Schaben/Los Angeles Times)

The father of the rich developer Angelo Tsakopoulos Kounalakis helped the Bank to an independent expenditure committee supporting his daughter’s 2018 governor campaign. Political observers are watching to see if it has poured money into a similar effort that supports the Guernorial campaign.

Pitney said that if he was still a speaker, Pelosi’s opinion would be “much more weight”. “He will not absolutely not shake most of the voters,” he said, but Mr. Area may be important if he shakes his donors.

A former GOP legislature and national party personnel, Pitney, who gave up the membership of the Republican party in 2016, where Trump was elected in 2016, said that Pitney is far from a decisive factor in today’s political landscape.

In the New York municipal race, the 33-year-old democratic socialist Zohran Mamdani referred to the sudden rise and striking primary win, orum I hesitate to dominate everyone, because often the candidates seem to come out of any place-like Mamdani in York York.

Pitney added that the experience in government and administrative leadership is also important, but that many voters can cut against candidates at a time when they are disappointed and something new.

In May, Antonio Villaraigosa speaks to Latin Caucus in Calififornia Democratic Congress at the Analical Congress Center.

(Carlin Stiehl/Los Angeles Times)

For example, the former State Assembly speaker in the 70s and La Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa said, “It has a long history, but this is both an advantage and disadvantage of long history.”

Villaraigosa said that the campaign was “about the future .. But the voters may not see him as a new face, Pit Pitney said.

Name recognition and money

None of the current candidates for the governor have the same profile as Harris. In fact, they are not known by the voters of voters.

Pitney and South mean that their business is cut for them, so in terms of donation collection.

South said, “There is no question that the democratic donor base is sitting on Haunches waiting to see what Harris is going to do,” South said.

However, he said that the donors have not yet seen a favorite candidate because they are now outside – this is a problem for candidates who are very little or not to recognize the name.

“None of these candidates in the remaining area with Harris Out have enough money to carry out a state -wide campaign for the governor in the bank,” he said.

South said he got a big cash infusion other than Koukis’s father, and once again he said he touched his personal authority.

At the same time, it may be a “great backfire ,, from such splashing family expenditures, if South, especially the competitors of Kounalakis jump to him unpleasant.

“In this state, we did not tend to choose the governor’s race to choose money,” he said.

South said that Big Bay Area donors were watching Porter to see if he decided to support his “profile progressive”.

Los If Los Angeles Developer and 2022 Mayor Candidate Rick Caruso were going to enter the race, “It could be a force, Pit Pitney said, because“ Southern California comes to the forefront and has a lot of money ”.

Donation Collection Reports

The latest donation collection reports from the maturity of Thursday night shed light on the crates of the candidates – but long before Harris falls, only until the end of June.

Democrats, who do not have the potential to finance their campaigns, reported that there were millions of dollars in cash as of June 30, and some of them including those who transfer money from previous campaign committees.

Former legislative leader Toni Atkins reported that the campaign was $ 4.3 million, collected $ 648,000 and spent 549,000 dollars in the first six months of this year.

Toni Atkins, a guernatorial candidate, speaks with supporters at California Democratic Congress at the Analical Congress Center in May.

(Carlin Stiehl/Los Angeles Times)

Villaraigosa collected $ 1.1 million and spent 550,000 dollars this year, but last year, he reported $ 3.3 million in cash on the basis of his donation collection.

Being had $ 2,5 million in the first six months of the year, after Skilra had $ 2,5 million in the bank had $ 2.1 million.

Porter reported that he has collected $ 2.5 million since his campaign in March and spent $ 449,000. He said it was $ 2.1 million in the bank.

Unlike other candidates, Porter’s campaign announced a donation collection because the state statement did not show any dollar applications on the website.

Sözcü Nathan Click said that the number of small dollar donors collapsed the state system and that their documents were working with the government officials to be displayed on the state secretary website on Friday. He said that most of Porter’s 34,000 donors contributed less than $ 200.

Riverside County Sharif Chad Bianco reported that he had collected $ 1.6 million and spent $ 609,000 this year and left $ 1 million in the bank.

Several candidates reported the number of mediocre donations collection, but they have a personal authority they can shoot.

The Kounalakis rose slightly above $ 100,000 and spent about three times more in the first half of this year. Lieutenant Governor has more than $ 4.6 million in the campaign account, but some of this money cannot be transferred due to campaign financing rules.

Businessman Stephen J. Cloobeck, a Los Angeles Democrat, collected about $ 160,000 and spent $ 1.5 million, including more than $ 1 million. At the end of the period, there was about $ 729,000. He also made a contribution of $ 10 million on Friday and said his campaign “Turbosharj”.

The philanthropist and businessman Stephen Cloobeck, in May, at the California Democratic Party congress at the Congress Center in the Congress Center, the governor of California during the Labor Party after talking about a supporter.

(Allen J. Schaben/Los Angeles Times)

“One of my many advantages is that I am not a politician and I am not in danger, C said Cloobeck.

Former FOX News server Steve Hilton, a republican candidate, collected about $ 1.5 million, and $ 200,000 personal credit. Hilton spent about $ 1 million and is slightly less than $ 800,000 in the bank.

Betty Yee was the former state controller, which collected about $ 238,000 and spent $ 255,000 at the lowest end of donation collection; And Tony Thurmond, the Director of Public Schools, who collected about 70,000 dollars, spent about $ 180,000 and had almost $ 560,000.

Both YEE and Thurmond said that democratic donors were waiting for Harris to decide Harris last month.