Why defeat on unpopular welfare reforms could prove to be the end of Starmer
IT Normally lasts more than a year in power for a prime minister to face a full rebellion containing more than 100 deputies.
While Sir Keir Starmer spent a multiple time at the beginning of his premiere, he has gained a large majority, but for the first time, he looks at the barrel of the defeat with an important vote in Commons.
However, 108 workers’ deputies – including 12 seats, including the distinguished committee – will remain loyal to their weapons next week and vote for the reasoned change, the government will lose the second reading vote in the welfare reform bill.
It should be noted that the number 108 does not include ministers who can still resign and vote against the government.
In such an important policy, defeat will potentially have a trust problem for a government that can reduce it, and there are several factors played here.
As a senior Backbencher said: “Sharks circle”.
There are those who want the government to turn much further and there are welfare taxes instead of interruptions.
There are also others with the ambitions of leadership.
There are more who want to take Starmer out.
And there are many people who do not think that being a workers’ deputy involves vulnerable and reducing benefits to disabled people.
In any way, if this goes wrong in a magnificent way, it can be difficult for the Prime Minister to survive, and it will weaken significantly, even so.
Today, his participation in the NATO Summit in The Hague, underlining that he has committed to spending Britain for defense and 5 percent of national security for defense and national security within ten years, and underlines that his welfare budget should control money for other things.
In the short term, Rachel Reeves, O and Chancellor, need savings of £ 5 billion per year to balance books and avoid further borrowing.
Already, unlike the winter fuel payments, which it is at a cost of approximately £ 1.25 billion per year, is a vital part of financial and social reforms. The prevention cannot be defended.
When Sir Keir is faced with internal political problems, there is almost something that is almost guaranteed – deploy the chances of Pat McFadden, the Lancaster Duchy Duke of Lancaster, to face the inevitable heavy question of the morning broadcast tour.
Mr. McFadden is the ultimate safe hand, where the superpower, often with meticulously detailed explanations, to empty life from almost every story.
For this reason, it was not surprising that Mr. McFadden was deployed to try to remove heat from the political crisis this morning as he was preparing to fly to Sir Keir Hague.
Obviously, it was a better choice than Liz Kendall, who was defined by a deputy as the ız the brutal reaper of the cabinet ve and could not convince his colleagues about the need to reform.
However, McFadden is the wrong person for work in many ways. Like Mrs. Kendall, on the right of the party to the right of the party, it is known that she wants to reduce prosperity and is now unloved by those who prepare an attack on the Starmer project.
And in the end, this comes to who is actually responsible. In this case, too many people think that the Real Zvengali is the Chief of General Staff Morgan Mcsweeney, who is responsible for the welfare deductions of the welfare deductions.
The problem for Starmer and McSweeney is that Nigel Farage reform does not help the reasons for the terrible survey and rise of the UK.
If things really go bad in May, after another election, talking about the stopping of prosperity cuts can easily talk about changing leaders. This may force Sir Keir to compromise early before the battle lines are properly scratched when the welfare bill has the second reading of the welfare bill on Tuesday.
