Will Russia surrender to Donald Trump’s threat of ‘severe tariffs’ and sign ceasefire with Ukraine? It is not likely as…

Russian President Vladimir Putin with Donald Trump (File Picture)

Russia will succumb to the threat of increasing tariff rates of the United States, and will it hurry to sign a ceasefire with Ukraine, the neighboring country that it invaded in February 2022? Or will President Vladimir Putin reject the pressure tactics of US counterpart Donald Trump and continue to target the Ukraine military facilities at a time when the Russian army has made progress and capture new areas? Already under the pressure of the US and EU sanctions, can the Russian economy based more pressure in the midst of the violent war? What is the way out for Moscow?

Donald Trump threatens Russia with ‘violent tariffs’

Not only Russian economists, but experts around the world are ruminating on these questions. Donald Trump, who is not known as a great diplomat, clarified his intentions with the most clear terms when he clearly said that he would apply “serious tariffs” unless a peace agreement was reached within 50 days. “If we don’t have an agreement within 50 days, the tariffs will make very severe tariffs at a rate of approximately 100%,” he said. He also stated that the US will apply additional tariffs to countries that buy Russian goods. Can be understood by an example. If India buys oil from Russia, US companies that buy Indian goods will have to pay 100% import tax or tariff when they reach the coast of products.

How did sanctions affect Russia?

At that time, US President Joe Biden imposed economic sanctions against Russia in 2022, stating that Moscow participated in NATO weeks after the invasion of Ukraine and threatened Russian security. According to the International Monetary Fund, the Russian economy decreased by 2.1% in the first year of sanctions. Russian GDP recorded an insufficient growth rate of 2.2% in 2023 and 1.1% in 2024. The US treasury claimed that Moscow has reduced 5% of economic growth.

The European Union also slapped Russia with a series of economic sanctions after the start of the Ukrainian war. According to the Foreign Affairs of the Nations and the Development Office (FCDOs), EU sanctions have deprived Russia of a war fund of approximately $ 450 billion.

Why is Russia not shaken by the US threat?

However, analysts believe that Russia does not rush for the ceasefire, as their powers have progressed and despite their losses. If a ceasefire accepts the offer, it does it according to the conditions. The US will not be deterred by the increasing threat of tariffs. Moscow is not shaken by the increasing threat of tariffs, which can be understood by an increase of 2.7% after the announcement of Trump. Apparently Russia has survived a 50 -day period of time and can be used to plan a counter -party to delay the application. Similarly, it is uncomfortable that the secondary tariffs against Russia’s trade partners will only kick only 50 days after that.