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Will the U.S. invade Cuba?

Front Burner

Following the indictment of former Cuban president Raúl Castro, is the U.S. preparing for a Venezuela-style invasion?

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Members of the Revolutionary Armed Forces carry portraits of former President Raul Castro.
Members of the Revolutionary Armed Forces carry portraits of former President Raul Castro during a rally in his support in front of the U.S. Embassy in Havana, Cuba, Friday, May 22, 2026, after U.S. prosecutors filed an indictment accusing him of ordering the 1996 shootdown of civilian planes flown by Miami-based exiles. (AP Photo/Ramon Espinosa) (AP Photo/Ramon Espinosa)

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Front Burner32:39Will the U.S. invade Cuba?

In a major escalation of its months long “maximum pressure” campaign, the United States announced it has indicted Raúl Castro, former president of Cuba, over the downing of two planes flown by a group of Cuban exiles targeting the regime in 1996.

It was a move officials within the Trump administration had been signalling would happen after the director of the CIA met with Cuban officials in Havana.

We speak to Peter Kornbluh, an author and senior analyst at the National Security Archive specializing in Cuba, about whether this signals a Venezuela-style strike on the country.

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