Maharashtra civic polls: In battle for Mumbai, exit polls predict clear win for BJP-Shiv Sena alliance

All the exit polls predicted a clean sweep of the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance and defeat of the Shiv Sena (UBT)-Maharashtra Navnirman Sena in the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) polls held on Thursday, January 15, 2026.

Accordingly My Axis India According to exit polls, the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance is set to win 131-151 seats and get 42% vote share in the country’s commercial capital. The Shiv Sena (UBT)-MNS-NCP (SP) alliance comprising Uddhav Thackeray and Raj Thackeray is expected to win 58-68 seats and get 32% vote share.

The Congress-Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi and Rashtriya Samaj Paksha alliance is expected to win 12-16 seats with 13% vote share. Others, comprising independents and smaller players like NCP, AIMIM and left parties, are likely to win 6-12 seats, it said.

There are 227 wards in Mumbai.

Saam TV Exit polls predict that the BJP is likely to win 84 seats, while its alliance partner Shiv Sena may get 35 seats in Mumbai. Shiv Sena (UBT) and MNS will get 65 and 10 seats respectively. NCP (SP), which is part of the Sena (UBT)-MNS alliance, is likely to get two seats.

BJP, which will be the largest party in Pune, is expected to win 70 seats while NCP is expected to get 55 seats. NCP (SP), which has partnered with Ajit Pawar-led NCP, is set to win 10 seats. It is stated that Shiv Sena, which participated in the polls independently, could win 12 seats. Saam TV exit polls.

The Shiv Sena (UBT) and MNS, which are contesting the polls as independents, are expected to win five and two seats respectively in the state’s second largest city, while the Congress is expected to see victory in eight districts.

In neighboring Thane, where Shiv Sena and BJP are competing together and considered as the stronghold of Deputy Prime Minister Eknath Shinde, the former is expected to get 72 seats while the alliance partner is expected to get 26 seats. Sena (UBT) and MNS are expected to get three and two seats respectively. Saam TV exit polls said.

according to Jubilant Data Studio exit surveys, The BJP-Shiv Sena alliance is expected to win 127-155 seats in Mumbai. Shiv Sena (UBT)-MNS-NCP (SP) alliance may win seats in the range of 44-64 seats. The Congress-led alliance may win 16-25 seats.

It was stated that in Pune, the BJP could win 79-92 seats, followed by the NCP (48-61). Shiv Sena may win eight-eleven seats, NCP (SP) (four-six), Shiv Sena (UBT) (four-five), MNS (zero-two), Congress (11-14).

In Thane, Shiv Sena is expected to win seats in the range of 69-76 seats, BJP is expected to win 26-30 seats, Sena UBT (zero-two), MNS (zero-one), NCP (SP) (12-16) and NCP (six-eight) and Congress (one-two). Enthusiastic Data Studio exit polls.

According to JVC’s exit polls, the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance may win 138 seats and get votes in the range of 42-45% in the metro. Shiv Sena (UBT)-MNS-NCP (SP) alliance may win 59 seats and get vote share in the range of 34-37%. The Congress-led alliance may win 23 seats and have a vote share of 13-15%.