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Banking bellwethers and a tariffs waiting game

Next week, CNBC teams have returned to the road – and all about banks and ECB. From Frankfurt to Milan and to Paris to London.

Banking BellWethers

French financial BNP Paribas – The largest lending of the euro region compared to assets – Report the earnings on Thursday.

In the last quarter, it increased past expectations from the performance of the bank investment bank, but revised the profitability target slightly lower.

On the same day, attention will return to Frankfurt Deutsche Bank’s The latest number set. The German lent recorded its best profit in 14 years in the last quarter and benefited from increasing trading volumes around market volatility. In June, CEO Christian Sewing said in June that he had an opportunity for Europe to invest more in its defense sector in June.

Deutsche Bank CEO is insufficient in Europe defense

Waiting game

For macro observers, the most important feature of the week in Europe will come from the European Central Bank. President Christine Lagarde and other policy makers are expected to keep their rates on Thursday at 2%. But there is a big capture …

According to Reuters, US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats are not expected to remove the result of this meeting. However, if Trump proceeds forward with 30% tariff in EU imports, there is a wide assumption that ECB will reduce rates in response.

US President Donald Trump speaks with the media as he left the White House on July 15, 2025 at Washington DC.

How is the EU preparing for Trump’s Tariff Agreement in Chicken Game?

ECB will be broken for the summer after this week’s meeting, and will be until September 11th to evaluate the impact of investors.

Inflation status

In terms of fundamental economic conditions, Deutsche Bank warns that the European inflation risks are still slightly underestimated, with a remarkable complaint between key assets “, the tariff effect is still fully dripped.

The Bank’s macro strategist also said that CNBC has prepared the ground for a late result to trigger a “very sharp market reaction” of the August 1 tariff deadline for negotiations between the US and the EU to the Squawk Box Europe.

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