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Luca Ittimani

Rising fuel prices may lead to interest rate increases

Shane OliverFuel prices could rise another 10 cents as the recovery in oil prices is not yet fully realized, AMP chief economist said in a note on Friday.

Oliver said that if the conflict in the Middle East continues and global stocks decrease, oil prices will rise further.

double quotesThe longer the strait remains closed and the war escalates, the greater the risk that oil prices will rise to around US$150 per barrel to drive down demand to match the hit to supply.

Prices are expected to rise another 16 cents when the federal government’s partial fuel rebate ends on Aug. 2. Oliver predicted that the government would extend the consumption cut.

Rising prices will increase inflation and increase the likelihood of the Central Bank increasing interest rates. On Friday, markets estimated the chance of an increase by December would be 65%, down from around 50% a week ago.

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