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Bank of America drops shock message on the stock market

The stock market appears to be in the midst of a reset, but Bank of America He thinks investors shouldn’t expect a big recovery just yet.

BofA’s chief investment strategist Michael HartnettSeeking Alpha’s report argues that the conditions that usually indicate the end of a brutal market correction are only partially present.

Hartnett said the current turmoil in the stock market follows a familiar pattern, and that’s where we’re seeing corrections: “Exogenous shocks at a time of extreme bullishness.”

In other words, markets have become incredibly optimistic only about external events such as: Iran war will shake investor sentiment and trigger a broad reset.

Here’s how the major stock indexes fared last week.

  • S&P 500:6,878.88 to 6,740.02approximately 2.0%

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average:48,977.92 to 47,501.55approximately 3%

  • Nasdaq Composite: 22,668.21 to 22,387.68approximately 1.2%.
    Source: Reuters

The S&P 500 was last traded at: 6,740.02 by on Friday, March 6, 2026 Associated Pressroughly down 1.5% year to date.

For perspective, when I last reviewed the S&P 500 on March 2, 2026, it closed at: 6,881.62; has since fallen 141.60 pointsor about 2.1%.

The primary focus on this part finish Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson The idea that the S&P 500 could appear stable even though many stocks below the surface had crashed was “dispersion.”

However, Hartnett’s market foundationsResetting is in progress.

Harnett believes several critical pieces of the reset are now visible in the current price action.

But the final piece of the puzzle has still not emerged.

Historically speaking, these resets tend to end after: safe haven assets Oil and the US dollar are weakening, but markets have yet to see that come to fruition, he says.

Hartnett argues that investors should not hold out until this happens:big transaction upside.”

  • 2020: 3,756.07 year-end closing; above 16.3% against for the year 3,230.78 finally 2019

  • 2021: 4,766.18 year-end closing; above 26.9% for the year

  • 2022: 3,839.50 year-end closing; 19.4% decrease for the year

  • 2023: 4,769.83 year-end closing; 24.2% increase for the year

  • 2024: 5,881.63 year end closing; 23.3% increase for the year

  • 2025: 6,845.50 year end closing; 16.4% increase for the year
    Source: FRED/S&P Dow Jones Indices and S&P 500 closing levels via YCharts historical data

Hartnett’s thesis about the stock market boils down to this: market rotation developing during corrections.

This is usually when money flows from crowd winners to assets that absorb most of the loss.

He argues that heavily sold areas of the stock market have already hit rock bottom. It points to a part technology field And risk weighted assets has experienced major declines in recent months.

Related: Morgan Stanley has a brief 2-word verdict on the S&P 500

“The first condition is that ‘oversold’ assets” wrote Hartnett, revealing that the process may already be underway across the country software stocks, big technology giants, and “Magnificent 7” along with areas like private loan, bank loansand even bitcoin.

In other words, the areas of the market that have fallen out of favor have already taken the biggest hit.

At the same time, we see a completely opposite dynamic beginning emerging elsewhere.

Assets that investors flocked to during the recent rally are seeing investors step back.

Hartnett highlighted recent selling pressure gold And chip stockstogether with emerging market, EuropeAnd banking stocksThis reflects a broader rebalancing across portfolios following recent volatility.

“The second condition is met when ‘overbought’ assets are soldexplained Hartnett.

Simply put, he argues that capital continues to rotate between asset classes as investors unwind positions that became stretched during the previous rally.

  • SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD): approximately 2.1% decrease
    SPDR Gold Shares ETFtracks the price of the bright yellow metal falling from the environment From $483.75 on February 27 to $473.51 on March 6almost a fall 2.12%.

  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH): approximately 6.4% decrease
    VanEck Semiconductor ETFMeasuring the chip area, it fell From $406.37 on February 27 to $380.56 on March 6almost a fall 6.35%.

  • iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM): approximately 8.4% decrease
    iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETFThe index tracks stocks in major emerging economies. From $62.58 on February 27 to $57.32 on March 6about a drop 8.41%.

  • Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF (VGK): approximately 6.3% decrease
    Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF moved From $90.17 on February 27 to $84.46 on March 6roughly a drop 6.33%.

  • SPDR S&P Bank ETF (KBE): approximately 2.5% decrease
    SPDR S&P Bank ETFTracking a basket of leading U.S. banking stocks, From $61.05 on February 27 to $59.55 on March 6about a weekly decrease 2.46%.
    Source: Yahoo Finance

Related: Morgan Stanley drops definitive reality check on gold price surge

This story was first published by . Street First appeared on March 9, 2026 Investment section. Add TheStreet at: Preferred Source by clicking here.

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