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ChatGPT predicts 5–8% chance of Donald Trump winning Nobel Peace Prize 2025, it predicts … may get award

ChatGPT estimates that Donald Trump has only a 5-8% chance of winning the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, citing credibility issues and expert skepticism.

Nobel Prize. (Representative Picture)

Although US President Donald Trump claimed that he should receive the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for ending more than seven wars, artificial intelligence chatbot ChatGPT said that he has only a 5% to 8% chance of receiving the world’s most prestigious award. It was stated that another political leader or organization, such as those working for human rights, democracy and peacebuilding, could receive the award. According to ChatGPT, their chances of winning the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025 are between 65% and 70%. It is also estimated that there is a 20% chance that a humanitarian or press freedom organization will receive the award.

ChatGPT: Who can win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize?

When this reporter asked AI ChatGPT who might receive the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, it said, “The 2025 Nobel Peace Prize may be awarded to a human rights defender, a pro-democracy group, or a humanitarian organization focusing on Ukraine, Gaza, or press freedom.” he said. “The committee is expected to favor non-political, unifying figures over divisive leaders.”

Artificial intelligence chatbot predicted that Donald Trump is very unlikely to be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025. He said:

  • The Nobel Committee is wary of politically polarizing figures, especially those who blatantly show off or campaign for the honor.
  • Many of Trump’s moves are seen as inconsistent with the ideals of long-term, multilateral peace and cooperation that the award often rewards.
  • Some of their nominations may not even be eligible this year (due to timing).
  • Experts and historians are openly skeptical about his chances.

ChatGPT also explained why Donald Trump is less likely to win the Nobel Peace Prize. He said:

  • Public lobbying undermines credibility: His self-promotion conflicts with the Nobel Committee’s preference for modesty and impartiality.
  • Mixed peace record: While he has brokered some ceasefires, he has also withdrawn from global agreements, imposed trade wars and escalated military rhetoric.
  • Deadline issues: Some 2025 nominations reportedly arrived after February 1 and missed the cutoff.
  • Expert consensus: Analysts at Reuters, Time and AP say Trump’s prospects are “extremely poor.”

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