News Analysis: Israel declared triumph, but Iran’s nuclear future still looms

Beirut – After the hurry between Israel and Iran, after being held on June 24, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced that the “existential threats of Iran and the ballistic missile arsenal of Iran and the ballistic missile ammunition were destroyed. “Historical victory,” he said, “Sleeping for generations”.

However, President Trump, about two weeks after using 30,000 -pound bombs and Tomahawk missiles against Iran’s nuclear facilities, questions about how much this victory will be followed. Even if we and Israel continued to evaluate the strikes strikes and the White House insists that Tehran may have a great bargain for peace in the region, but analysts say that hostility is less than the beginning of the next action.

Bader will be a sequel. The war continues to be an unfinished project for both sides, Bad “He wants to see the end of the Iranian regime or a more serious head of the Iranian regime,” Israel added.

For decades of Israel and the United States who have been challenging and antagonizing the United States for decades, caries have emerged for decades, but they serve as proof that they should not be beaten.

Al-Saif, “Israel and American firepower, regardless of the superiority, they are still there,” he said. “And they’re there in the long run.”

Israel’s 12 -day campaign, the long -standing shadow conflict between the Middle East’s military forces, has turned into an open war by cutting off the upper levels of Iran’s military and nuclear leadership. Israel’s spy service carried out detailed sabotage operations on Iranian territory. After the air strike, wave killed hundreds of people and turned vital facilities, infrastructure and city neighborhoods into rubble piles.

Trump announced that he announced the B-2 Spirit Bombarding aircraft, and other members of him and his administration repeated the word “destroyed” when defining the effects.

Although the first damage analysis expressed skepticism, a consensus emerged that Iran has been destroyed or made unreasonable, including Iran’s infrastructure, including centrifuges and uranium metal processing equipment. In an interview with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Tuesday, in an interview with CBS News, Iran said that the atomic energy organization still evaluates the effect on the Ford site, “But what we have ever known is that the facilities have been serious and seriously damaged.”

Iran’s nuclear ambitions is another issue.

Araghchi added that Iran’s “peaceful nuclear program has turned into a matter of national pride and grandeur” and that “people will not easily return without enriching”.

“It cannot destroy the technology and science of enrichment through bombing, A Aaghchi said. “This is the will by us and if there is will to make progress in this sector once again, we can quickly repair the damage and compensate for the lost time.”

Iranian authorities put the death of the war to 935 people, including 38 children and 132 women; They didn’t specify how many men were civilians.

In 2015, the US, European forces and Iran signed an agreement for sanctions that restrict the enrichment of uranium to 3.67% (sufficient for civilian use), abandoned a significant amount of uranium stock and allowed international Atomic Energy Agency inspectors to monitor facilities.

Trump withdrew from the agreement, saying that he did not go forward enough in 2018 and imposed what he calls “maximum pressure on Iran. A new agreement began with an effort to negotiate a new agreement; Israel began attacking Iran while the talks continued.

Experts believe that Iran still had centrifuges produced before the war, but it was never established and is a uranium stock that was enriched to 20% and 60%, which is enough for the 10 war titles.

Eric Brewer, Vice President of the Nuclear Materials Security Program for the Nuclear Threat attempt for the Washington Thinking Corporation, said, “He has the basic elements that Iran can use to recreate an enrichment effort.

The authority added that uranium has a darker expectation. Brewer said Israel killed 14 senior senior Iranian nuclear scientists, but Know-how is likely to remain.

“Iran is not willing to openly abandon its nuclear program,” he said. “This is the question of what form of the restructured program will take and how much Iran should continue it.”

After the ceasefire with Iran was declared a ceasefire, people add a tent in an underground shelter in Tel Aviv on June 24, 2025.

(Ohad Zwigenberg / Associated Press)

Meanwhile, Tehran took steps that limit the access of inspectors to the nuclear program. On Wednesday, Iranian President Masoud Pesshkian signed a bill that suspends cooperation with IAEA, the nuclear keeper of the United Nations until it was guaranteed for the safety of nuclear facilities and scientists.

Half of the 12 -member Guardian Council appointed by Iran’s high leader Ayatullah Ali Khanei, approved the next day.

Continuing with any enrichment will not be a start for Trump, who says that “no doubt” will bomb any Iranian reconstruction effort. The Israelis threatened the strike again if they perceived a threat.

However, this account pushes all parties to a constant cat and mouse game, it will take longer than ever to hide Iranian activities, the US and Israel continues to monitor the maneuvers of Tehran.

Israel used a similar play book in Lebanon. Although the militant group accepted a ceasefire in November, he maintains almost everything on his neighbor, a series of drones, spies, signal intelligence and artificial intelligence, and hezbollah was effective in revealing Hezbollah activity. The Israeli army launched thousands of attacks aimed at any movement to recover the abilities of the Lebanese militant group.

“The Israelis call it grass mowing and they can do it endlessly.” He said. “But I doubt the long -term success of this effort [with Iran] Because you cannot rely on this level of penetration and that access is good forever. “

Indeed, Iran is about 158 ​​times larger than Lebanon and is more than 1,000 miles larger than Israel.

Nuclear Reproduction Specialist Brewer added that Iran will probably prefer to hide new facilities deeper underground to defend the “Bunker Buster” attacks.

“In order to use analogy, to effectively reap the grass, you should know where those grass grows,” he said.

Iran says that the US and Israel will respond to strike again. And a price showed that it might be definite.

During the war, he threw the fusillat of consecutive ballistic missiles and fell on the road or destroyed by Israel’s defense network, those who have been invisible in Israel for decades.

Health officials say that 29 Israeli civilians were killed and several buildings were destroyed or damaged. The Israeli Tax Administration said that more than 40,000 compensation requests were made.

Firefighters, rescue workers and military members work on June 22, 2025 at an Iranian missile strike in Tel Aviv.

(Oded Balilty / Associated Press)

Also, it is not an easy task to keep Israel’s defense network online, because it is based on “brutally expensive” prevention. When Israel consumed materials, the US had to shoot the Thaad missiles to seize one -year production run or Iran’s bullets of the Terminal High Altitude Area defense.

“This is almost a war of wear, because if the Israelis wait to cut, then they’re on the wrong side of the cost curve,” Lewis said.

It is unlikely that negotiations with Iran in a post -war atmosphere of insecurity atmosphere. Araghchi said in his interview that the gate of diplomacy would never “close ,, but Trump administration officials said that the negotiations on the nuclear program between the United States and Iran will start as early next week.

“In order to decide to revive again, we must make sure that America will not go back to targeting us in a military attack during the negotiations,” Aaghchi said.

At the same time, there are very few appetite for a great deal of agreement, which aims to solve all conflicts in the region-envisaged by Trump-Trump, the director of the Middle East and North African Program in London-based Chatham House think organization.

“This is a desirable thought after a war that damages Iran’s defense doctrine and has not seen Israel’s strategic goals are not met,” Vakil said.

“We’re doing a time -out, and without a really determined focus and deliberate diplomacy, this will be a very long break, both sides are gathering again and think of the next round.”