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Report delivers blunt reality check as US Medicare, Social Security shortfall surges to $130T — how to protect yourself

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Uncle Sam has released his latest financial report and it’s not looking good.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently warned that the United States is on an “unsustainable fiscal trajectory” due to massive government spending and high debt (1). The Treasury reported $6.1 trillion in total assets and $47.8 trillion in total liabilities as of September 30, 2025 (2). In other words, the government’s net worth negative $41.7 trillion.

Worse, this estimate of total liabilities does not include unfunded liabilities of social insurance programs such as Social Security and Medicare. This liability is reported separately, which keeps it outside of the federal government’s core balance sheet.

According to estimates published by Fortune, Johns Hopkins economist Steve Hanke and former U.S. Comptroller David Walker estimate that these unfunded liabilities could be worth $88.4 trillion over a 75-year period (3). Combine this with the $41.7 trillion deficit in the Federal government’s core balance sheet and you have a whopping $130 trillion in debt.

Here’s what all these astronomical numbers mean for your personal finances in the coming years.

The huge gap in Uncle Sam’s finances needs to be closed somehow. There are only a few options, and none of them will be pleasant for ordinary American taxpayers.

For example, increasing taxes could provide the government with some additional revenue to manage this debt burden over time. Legendary investor Warren Buffett has predicted that corporate taxes will rise over the long term to help close some of the government’s fiscal deficit in 2024 (4).

Restructuring the social safety net could be another option.

According to the Brookings Institution, raising the retirement age, imposing a cap on benefits for high-income households, or expanding legal immigration to attract more younger participants in the trust fund would close some of the gap in the Social Security trust fund (5).

Unfortunately, many of these solutions are likely to be disruptive to ordinary workers and savers. You may need to plan for higher taxes or deferred retirement to prepare for any of these potential moves by a future government.

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