Trump’s change in tone is valuable to Ukraine – but more than words are needed | Donald Trump
Who can keep up with? Donald Trump, in a single social media mission, announced that Kiev’s six -pressure army can actually recover all Ukraine in its original form ”.
On the side of the side, from the point of view of Ukraine, the President of the United States has left the effort to quit Donetsk states for a loose cease -fire negotiations from Moscow – this is briefly the result of Vladimir Putin and Alaska summit.
The change in Trump’s tone is worth something for Kyiv. However, if the US President had been serious about a Ukrainian war area victory, it would have required not only more economic sanctions, but also to direct American weapons to be provided much more and possibly directly directing the military intervention of the West.
Russia had to retreat in only two periods since the beginning of February 2022, Russia had to retreat in only two periods: in the spring of that year, Kiev expanded around; And again in the autumn of 2022, when he faced a similar problem in Kherson and the defenses in the Kharkiv region before the Kremlin started a mobilization driving.
Critically, Ukraine failed in the summer of 2023 with the opposite -ffans. Western tanks, rockets and armored vehicles were provided, but it was used badly by Kiev, spreading them from the front to more than one point in attacks that did not take into account Russian mines, trenches and other defenses.
The gains have been the best six miles with one or two points on the front, and for a long time from Avdiivka to the gates of Pokrovsk in Central Donetsk, it has been eliminated by the ruthless Russian progress. Moscow has made the initiative since the beginning of 2024 and does not show a sign of quit.
Trump talked about the hardening of economic sanctions by applying secondary tariffs to Russian oil buyers, but he applied it to India, not more important China, but to India. The US President talked about a 30 -day deadline before moving in the summer, then shortened, then completely forgot after the meeting in Alaska.
Nevertheless, this does not help Ukraine win the war. Although Ukraine’s most urgent need is to improve air defenses, a more harmonious US weapon will help Kiev. However, this is not what Trump offers, but instead of Ukraine’s “time, patience and the financial support of Europe”.
What Trump refers to here is the continuation of the summer -reviewed weapon supply program in the summer, where European nations pay US weapons for Ukraine through NATO. Although this is clearly helping Ukraine, there is little likelihood of a dramatic return on the battlefield in a war fighting drones to a large extent.
Ukraine itself admitted that it has long been able to regain the territory conquered by Russia for a long time. In FebruaryWhile Zelenskyy acknowledged that some or all of the occupied regions since 2014 should be returned to Ukraine by “diplomatic ways ,, other experts mentioned a highly militarized defense strategy.
From a military point of view, Ukraine would probably push the Russian invasion in one of two scenarios. One is a radiic change in Western intervention – perhaps the direct participation of NATO air force – but the idea doesn’t have to be so discounted so politically. Secondly, it is a Russian collapse that probably caused by the regime change in the Kremlin, and there is still no sign of them.
