What Secret Plot Is Pakistan’s Navy Hatching Against India; War Looms Under The Sea? | World News

New Delhi: Pakistan Navy has issued a new Notification to Sailors (NOTMAR), setting off a wave of speculation across the region. The warning came just days after Indian Defense Minister Rajnath Singh and Army Chief Upendra Dwivedi warned Pakistan of any mishap near Sir Creek. Analysts in Islamabad say the naval alert could be a sign that Pakistan is preparing for a larger operation in the Arabian Sea.
Political commentator Qamar Cheema told local media that NOTMAR may have been related to a “major naval exercise”, a routine move to warn ships of possible fire or missile tests. He said timing is important. “We have often seen India issuing such NOTAMs or NOTMARs while planning air or naval exercises. Now Pakistan Navy has issued one, which means something big is happening in its waters,” he said.
According to him, Pakistan Navy has intensified its mobilization in recent days. He noted that such warnings are often followed by large-scale ship movements, firing exercises and missile tests. “During the exercise, fire is opened and many ships move. The meaning of NOTMAR is this: Do not confuse this with anything else,” he said.
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Missile Test Raised Eyebrows
The speculation comes after Pakistan tested the Fateh-4 missile, a surface-to-surface weapon with an estimated range of 750 kilometers. Cheema said the test aims to showcase the capability and convey a message to India. “The range of Fatah-4 shows how important this is,” he said, adding that the missile represents a step forward in Pakistan’s ongoing defense build-up.
Pakistan had previously tested Fateh-1 and Fateh-2 missiles during conflicts with India. Analysts say the new Fateh-4 extends its attack radius deep into Indian territory.
However, experts also point out that Pakistan’s missile program has difficulty competing with India’s advanced systems such as S-400 air defense and Rafale warplanes.
Naval Reinforcement and India’s Warning
Cheema suggested that the naval build-up could be linked to fears that India might target Karachi or other coastal installations. He said Pakistan appeared focused on securing its economic assets and energy export routes that were vital to its economy.
“The Indian defense minister said that the Navy will be used and stated that the Sir Creek route goes to Karachi. This is not a normal statement,” he said.
During the Vijayadashami celebrations in Gujarat’s Bhuj on October 2, Singh had warned: “If Pakistan carries out any act of aggression in Sir Creek, we will change both its history and geography.”
He emphasized that Indian forces and the Border Security Force (BSF) are fully prepared to defend every square inch of Indian territory.
Targeting Economic Centers?
According to Cheema, the Pakistani military may view India’s economic hubs as possible targets in any future conflict. He recalled a recent statement from Pakistan’s Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR) indicating a shift in strategy towards attacking “the east or economic centres”.
He also said discussions in Pakistan’s defense circles included war game scenarios involving attacks on refineries and export terminals that are already under global scrutiny for handling oil supplies, including imports from Russia. “In war games, these are things that are discussed,” he emphasized.
Tension Rising in the Arabian Sea
Indian defense analysts say that the latest developments should be watched carefully. They believe NOTMAR could be a precursor to major naval exercises, but the mix of missile tests and shrill rhetoric raises the possibility of miscalculation.
Experts in New Delhi say the Indian Navy remains vigilant but is unlikely to unnecessarily expose its aircraft carriers or key assets. “In any conflict, both sides target each other’s strongest capabilities,” said a senior analyst, referring to India’s advanced air defense and naval strike systems.
For now, there is no confirmation that the Pakistan Navy is preparing for actual missile firing. NOTMAR is officially defined as a “routine exercise” notification. But the combination of the missile test, forceful press statements and increased naval activity has created an atmosphere of unease in South Asian waters.
Observers say both sides were busy signaling. They warn that the coming days will determine whether this signal will remain symbolic or turn into a test of nerves between two nuclear-armed neighbors.


