Why builders can’t stack up affordable housing despite being needed more than ever
There is huge demand for affordable housing in Brisbane, but the perfect storm of conditions means most of this housing is not being built.
New developments in the city consist mainly of luxury buildings targeting the upper end of the market; these projects are better able to absorb rising construction costs to meet the growing demand of downsizers.
There were more than 40 off-plan projects with units available for sale online in May. The average entry-level price for each building was approximately $2 million.
Only one had a home for well under $1 million; A tower on Lyons Terrace in Windsor where one-bedroom units can be purchased for $745,000.
The cheapest apartment in many buildings was well over $3 million.
“The high-end stuff is what’s starting to happen,” Ben Teague, managing director of luxury developer and designer Molti, told this imprint.
“Ironically, that’s not what’s needed… I’m kind of shooting myself in the foot here because that’s where we play, but that’s not the stock that’s actually needed.”
Many of the developments also included additional amenities such as pools, spas, saunas, gyms and barbecue areas, which attract ongoing higher tier fees.
Cheaper developments have been proposed, including the ‘mid-market’ tower announced for Kangaroo Point in April and ‘co-living’ units unveiled in Fortitude Valley in March, but especially within the city these are the exceptions that prove the rule.
So, when there is a shortage of affordable housing, why isn’t the market trying to fill this gap?
Oxford Economics Australia economist Michael Dyer said many factors were coming together to turn some developers away from mass-market offerings.
Rising construction costs, labor shortages, the financing model used by many developers, and government policy often made it difficult for cheaper units to be profitable.
“Basically what a developer is trying to figure out is the bottom line on delivering a new apartment building,” Dyer said.
“It just seems like a field [luxury] developers can more easily ensure the accumulation of these feasibility.
“Southeast Queensland is certainly a market… particularly one where competition for resources will be fierce as we move into the rest of this decade.”
Supply chain pressures during the COVID pandemic and, more recently, the oil shock of the Iran War have driven up construction materials prices, while a major infrastructure pipeline in the run-up to the 2032 Olympics has swallowed up construction workers and increased labor costs.
Other construction-related costs, including government fees and charges, are also high and have increased since the pandemic.
Teague said Molti’s feasibility studies of potential projects revealed that some would be unprofitable even if the land was given to them for free due to rising construction costs.
“I can’t imagine how difficult it is to run a business in this more affordable area,” he said.
There continues to be significant unmet demand for senior units across the city, contributing to an influx of capital into higher margin projects.
The narrative that it was driven largely by investors and retirees in southern states doesn’t tell the full story, Teague said.
The only buyers for the new Molti building at Kangaroo Point, called Heirloom (where units start at around $10 million), were downsizers from Brisbane.
“We actually thought we would get a lot of inquiries and requests from Melbourne and Sydney. But that’s not the case,” he said.
“In this luxury area we found… it comes locally.”
The LNP state government has prioritized a supply-side response to the housing crisis; policies were primarily aimed at facilitating construction; in some cases, by eliminating affordable housing mandates that they argue drive away investment.
They say developers aren’t building enough because current regulations are too burdensome, and that any new supply (even at the peak of the market) will soften prices by reducing overall demand.
Schrinner council’s signature housing plan has been a “tall, not spread” policy, with new zoning rules allowing larger towers in many suburbs including Stones Corner, Gravatt Mountain, Fortitude Valley and Wynnum.
Labor opposition at both levels of government has advocated for a more interventionist response, calling for instructions requiring new developments to contain a certain percentage of homes priced below a deemed appropriate threshold.
Representatives on the Brisbane City Council said they would not stand in the way of complete supply depletion. In May Labor voted against council-backed plans to allow new units in the bayside suburb of Wynnum.
The Greens have gone further, pressing for a dramatic increase in government-supported social and affordable housing construction. They argue the free market has failed to meet Brisbane’s housing needs and the solution is new public projects.
Dyer said there was no easy short-term solution to Brisbane’s housing crunch, but there were steps the government could take to ease the pressure.
He said the pre-sale finance guarantee introduced in other states, including South Australia, could help increase financing for mass-market units, while the height and floor space bonus offered to developers in NSW had the potential to increase the appeal of building cheaper homes.
The policy allows developers to build taller and larger buildings if they include up to 15 percent affordable housing in their plans.
“We’re finding that there are some projects that really help them move forward,” Dyer said.
“Just getting a little extra…no matter how many units, it means they can get the feasibility of starting something viable.”
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