AOC leads 2028 Democratic field as Trump Iran war polls sink to new low

The following is a made-up story, but anyone obsessed with 2028 should read it.

I don’t mean that this is fiction. This Axios article is based on factual reporting.

But that’s just one more perspective from thousands of possible perspectives on who could win the next Democratic nomination.

I’m an Axios fan. I have written many similar stories. It’s what you do when there’s no negative news about an event that won’t start for another year and a half. You have to keep feeding the beast.

AOC, ASKED ABOUT BECOMING A PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE, SAID THAT HER GOAL WAS ‘Much BIGGER THAN THAT’

(To be fair, Axios’ top three stories yesterday were about the war, Donald Trump’s lawsuit against the IRS, and congressional maneuvering.)

So this one of them Among the stories for the days when no significant developments took place.

We used to call this the “invisible primary”. But this term needs to be phased out. In the age of X and Instagram, group chats, powerful podcasts, nothing is invisible anymore. Anyone can go to Substack and try to gain followers with varying levels of insight and accuracy. Very few “scoops” in this echo chamber last longer than two minutes.

AOC TAKES PAGE FROM BIDEN PLAYBOOK TO MISS INTERVIEWS WITH NATIONAL PRESS

And you probably know the history involving name ID. At the end of 2007, Rudy Giuliani was the GOP frontrunner. Hillary Clinton, who everyone expected to win, was ahead of Barack Obama by 45 to 27%.

By the end of 2003, Howard Dean led the field with 23%, more than twice the rate of his closest rivals. John Kerry ranked sixth with 4%. That Kerry guy won the nomination easily.

Axios now turns the spotlight on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ro Khanna:

“Veterans of Bernie Sanders’ two presidential campaigns are splitting their allegiances between a pair of Democrats vying to take over his progressive movement….”

The California congresswoman “has a slightly more centrist view than Ocasio-Cortez on issues like crime and immigration. She recruited key members of Sanders’ 2016 campaign — most well-known is 2016 campaign manager Jeff Weaver, who had a relatively moderate approach on immigration and guns — and wasn’t afraid to be negative about Hillary Clinton.”

AOC “leveraged the strategists behind Sanders’ efforts in 2020, when the Vermont senator moved left on social issues to support policies like decriminalizing border crossings by unauthorized immigrants and largely refrained from attacking Joe Biden.”

So it’s mainly about recruiting little-known agents. “Old Bernie” versus “New Bernie.”

The news nail, if ever there was one, was the New York congresswoman’s chances at MTG: “I personally don’t trust someone like Marjorie Taylor Greene, a self-confessed bigot and anti-Semite, on what’s good for Gazans and Israelis.”

The AtlasIntel poll shows Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic primary field with 26% of the vote. (Reuters/Jeenah Moon)

According to the AtlasIntel survey, Ocasio-Cortez was the leader among Democrats with 26%, while Khanna ranked tenth with 0.9%. So this narrative might help him.

Personally, I don’t think AOC will run. He recently said he was more interested in pushing agenda items like health care than staying in office. I’m not saying he can’t be a candidate or win the nomination even though he was defeated in the general election. But she doesn’t openly desire it like Kamala Harris.

Any competent Democrat should be tempted by President Donald Trump’s soaring popularity. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc. via Getty Images)

Of course, any Democrat with a pulse should be caught up in Donald Trump’s falling poll numbers.

Latest New York Times/Siena College surveyThe president’s approval rating dropped to 37%, its second-term low. (Note that such statements apply only to that media outlet’s previous poll, resulting in overlapping ALL-TIME-LOW headlines.)

Nearly two-thirds say going to war with Iran was a mistake, while 64 percent disapprove of Iran’s handling of the economy.

Of course, Trump will not be in the 2028 elections, but Trumpism will definitely be there.

Meanwhile, the confirmation of Trump nominee Kevin Warsh as Fed chairman does not necessarily mean he will fulfill his long-standing desire for a rate cut. Actually, quite the opposite.

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Analyst Ryan Payne of Payne Capital Management said on Maria Bartiromo’s Fox show that there is growing pressure for the Fed to raise interest rates.

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“The bond vigilantes have spoken and they’re telling you the Fed probably needs to raise rates to keep inflation in check because we’re pricing in a much different market right now than we were two weeks ago.”

Bartiromo agrees: “Yes, that’s true, and of course the president continues to say that this is a temporary situation.”