Kemi Badenoch faces one huge question about the very future of the Tory Party | Politics | News
The Conservative Party is currently on a political death sentence following an underwhelming party conference. It may be little comforting that underfire leader Kemi Badenoch has outperformed all her leadership rivals in a theoretical pairing with Nigel Farage. But Badenoch will also fail against the Reform UK leader, according to the Merlin Strategy. Worse still, nearly two-thirds of Tory members support a deal with Reform, according to YouGov, with party members split down the middle on an all-out merger.
Frankly, if the Conservatives truly faced electoral wipeout at the next election, what remains of Conservative MPs is likely to be split between the Reform and Liberal Democrats. Meanwhile, the same YouGov poll found a slim majority of Conservative Party members want Badenoch gone before the next election. Again, Team Badenoch can take some solace in the fact that it fared better against Farage than other so-called Tory leaders.
But this is cold comfort when he still has lost the confidence of his party and looks set to lose to Reformation. Farage has now captured the Brexit vote from the old Tories and patriotic Labor Party that carried Boris Johnson to victory in 2019.
It is a measure of the success of the Reformation that they were the centerpiece of Liberal Democrat, Labor and Tory conferences. Look at the latest opinion polls: Freshwater Strategy (Reform +15), Opinium (Reform +13), JL Partners (Reform +10) and Learn Now (Reform +16).
In seat predictions, at least, Reform is seen as the largest party. Others have a simple majority Reformation.
The Conservative Party, on the contrary, is now condemned to fourth place. All the Conservatives can do is emulate the ideas of the Reformation, even though they have had more than 14 years to fix Britain.
Badenoch faces an impossible task due to the failures of his predecessors. He can do better than his rivals in the match against Farage.
This could protect against leadership challenges, especially after the expected disastrous local elections next May. But what happens next?
Conservatives need to face the facts: the problem is with the party, not the leader. They made a mistake and now they have to pay for it. Conservatives were sentenced to political death penalty.
