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Trump’s peace plan might split two states into three

Gaza, the West Bank and Israel — Trump’s peace plan is more likely to divide than unite, it says Patrick Drennan.

HOW WILL THE TWO-STATE SOLUTION WORK? Will there really be three states?

On September 29, 2025, American President Donald Trump made a statement. 20-point Peace Plan to finish Israel-Hamas War. The plan calls for the disarmament of Hamas and the withdrawal of both Hamas and Israel from the Gaza Strip. Gaza will be administered by the Palestinian Authority. The plan was backed by Israel and based on a former State Department office. plan.

On October 9, President Trump announced: ceasefire agreement An agreement was reached with Hamas on the release of the remaining hostages and the partial withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza. Aid corridors will be opened.

So, what is the Two-State Solution?

The two-state solution to the ongoing Israeli/Palestinian conflict is based on the establishment of an independent Palestinian State alongside the State of Israel. It has been proposed many times since the partition of Greater Palestine in 1948 and 1967. six days wardetermined the current boundaries.

Article 9 of President Trump’s plan calls for the establishment of a Palestinian committee overseen by a “Peace Board” chaired by him. Theoretically, a supranational organization with common supreme authority could be useful in shared control. The real problem is who will form the Palestinian committee in Gaza?

Mahmoud Abbas (90 years old), the head of the Palestinian National Authority and his deputies are accused of: billion dollar fraud. His Fatah Party is very unpopular in Palestine, which is why many people turn to Hamas. Unfortunately, the Hamas leadership is allegedly equally corrupt. For example, Mahmoud al-Zahar, co-founder of Hamas, confirmed that he was involved in illegal trade through tunnels and that his wealth had reached some extent. six billion Egyptian pounds.

So how will the two-state solution work and what are its complications?

Firstly, the basis of the two-state solution is based on the 2002 United Nations Agreement. Principles of the Quadruple. The Quartet is guided by three core principles: nonviolence, recognition of Israel, and acceptance of previous agreements.

Second, Israel will have to completely evacuate Gaza, as it did in 2005. The last campaign resulted in a power vacuum and Hamas came to power. The only way to prevent this is to deploy a UN-led armed military force in Gaza to keep the peace and distribute aid and medicine. This requires a UN decision and a force that will satisfy everyone, especially the Arab countries. Article 15 of President Trump’s plan argues that Jordan and Egypt are Sunni Muslim states (like Palestine).

Third, President Trump’s plan ignores the contested West Bank and focuses entirely on Gaza. Here, large land swaps and evacuations of resident citizens to pre-1967 borders would be completely impractical. Mass migration of people from the West Bank by Palestinians or Israeli settlers is unrealistic. But President Trump said: won’t let Israel will completely annex the West Bank.

Therefore, the President’s plan heralds a three-state solution: a federation that would share responsibility for Israel, Palestine, and the West Bank, and would also be overseen by the United Nations. This solution requires painful compromises. Both are highly disputed and there is much land under claim; some of these are impossible to divide – for example, East Jerusalem and Al Alsa/Temple Mount. Both sides have claims and both sides refuse to negotiate. This is where President Trump’s Peace Board can mediate.

Albanese's recognition of Palestine is too little, too late

Finally, Palestine cannot survive economically as an independent state. It currently relies on aid from Iran, Saudi Arabia and the United Nations. Even in the event of an extended ceasefire and truce, it seems unlikely that most Palestinians will be allowed to cross the border and work in Israel in the near future.

If security can be ensured, large companies from the USA, Saudi Arabia and India can establish factories in Palestine, taking advantage of the cheap and abundant labor force. An infiltrated American plan He thinks that these countries use Palestine as an important logistics center.

But the only long-term solution involves Palestinians working in Israel. Before the war, the destination of 90 percent of Palestinians was Israel export It covers 58% of its imports. Jointly owned businesses developed by Palestinians and Israelis have been rejected in the past, but this is a logical solution.

The two-state solution seems idealistic in many ways. It seems unlikely that Hamas will disarm or disappear. The long-term grievances of Palestinians will continue to increase. However, Palestine is no longer a sovereign state. known It has been ratified by 157 of the 193 member states of the United Nations and is the only path to lasting peace.

Patrick Drennan is a journalist living in New Zealand with a degree in American history and economics.

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