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Wales election 2026: Live results map as Senedd elected by new voting system

Voters in Wales will soon learn the results of the country’s 2026 parliamentary election; First minister Eluned Morgan is expected to lose her seat as Labor faces disastrous consequences.

Labor will retain just 10 seats in the Senedd, according to party spokespeople: “We now expect to lose many hard-working and respected members of the Senedd. We thank them for their service to their communities.”

“Welsh Labor looks set to return a group of around 10 MS – which will at least allow for a vocal opposition from Labor, although we are deeply disappointed at not being able to lead a government.”

Counting for all 96 seats in the Welsh Senedd is underway and polls suggest there could be a major change in the party’s political make-up towards the end of Friday.

This election marked the first time Wales used the ‘closed proportional list system’ for voting. It was implemented to more closely reflect the number of seats won by a party or independent candidate with the percentage of votes they received.

Here’s an overview of the results in Wales so far:

Pollsters predict the results will see Labor lose the Senedd for the first time in 27 years, marking the worst election result in the country for over a century, with just 12 seats.

YouGov modeling shows Plaid Cymru as the most successful party, predicted to win around 43 seats. This would be below the 49 needed for a majority, meaning a potential deal could be reached with Labor.

Similar to the rest of the UK, the void left by Labour’s collapsing support appears to be filled primarily by Reform candidates. The party led by Nigel Farage is expected to win 34 seats, which would make it the second largest party in Wales.

Follow The Independent’s live blog for the latest developments local election coverage

A difficult picture is already emerging in England, with Labor losing hundreds of seats as the Reformation made huge gains.

The Prime Minister admitted it had been a “tough” night for Labor, insisting he would continue in his role despite the losses, but added that “days like these do not weaken my resolve to deliver the change I have promised”.

Reform England has made gains across the country, with hundreds of Labor councilors voted out, putting pressure on the prime minister.

Mr Farage said the results showed a “truly historic shift” in British politics away from the previous era dominated by Labor and the Conservatives, and vowed that “the best is yet to come” for his party.

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